CFP Week 3 Predictions

Top 25 wins seems to be the #1 metric for the committee, bases on this Jeff Long interview.
 
UGA 15, CU 19, GT 21. We beat CU, UGA loses to AU, we should be ranked higher than the Dwags going into COFH ...emphasis on 'should'


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ThisIsAtlanta said:
Top 25 wins seems to be the #1 metric for the committee, bases on this Jeff Long interview.
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Yeah I heard that right after I clicked the post button.

Seems like WV should be in the rankings for beating one top 10 team and almost beating a top 4 team.
 
coit said:
What do I win?


And why do you think TCU is better than Bama?
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You win 1 internets.

And Alabama has not been consistent enough to edge out TCU in my ranking. Their Ole Miss loss looked terrible to me even before they lost Treadwell. Given the LSU game I just don't see that much separation between them and the rest of the west. They won in OT essentially on a trick play. It was a great play, but it doesn't counteract the garbage regulation game that they almost certainly dont win without an out of bounds kick from LSU.

They still have Miss St and Auburn though. If they win out I may change my evaluation.
 
ThisIsAtlanta said:
Lol FSU falls to 3.
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Not an FSU fan but can you imagine if defending champ was from SEC and remains undefeated and yet drops from 2 to 3 being jumped by Oregon which has a loss?

ESPN would probably raise hell if that happened, am I wrong about that?
 
hdtvfan said:
Not an FSU fan but can you imagine if defending champ was from SEC and remains undefeated and yet drops from 2 to 3 being jumped by Oregon which has a loss?

ESPN would probably raise hell if that happened, am I wrong about that?
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ESPN was in full on inquisition mode because Alabama wasn't #4. They'd probably cancel the playoff is MSST got FSU'd. The ööööty thing is, when Alabama does beat MSST, one of Oregon, FSU, and TCU is going to find itself outside looking in at another bracket with 2 SEC West teams in it.
 
hdtvfan said:
Not an FSU fan but can you imagine if defending champ was from SEC and remains undefeated and yet drops from 2 to 3 being jumped by Oregon which has a loss?

ESPN would probably raise hell if that happened, am I wrong about that?
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No. You're 100% right yet noone on ESPN will say jack squat.
 
It's really dumb that FSU fell to number 3. FSU is undefeated. And they've played quality opponents in and out of conference: Clemson, Louisville, Notre Dame, Oklahoma State. What the öööö? I'm fed up with the Subjective Committee already.
 
gtzulu said:
It's really dumb that FSU fell to number 3. FSU is undefeated. And they've played quality opponents in and out of conference: Clemson, Louisville, Notre Dame, Oklahoma State. What the öööö? I'm fed up with the Subjective Committee already.
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A 1 loss Oregon team, ranked ahead of an undefeated FSU.

A 3 loss LSU team ranked ahead of 2 loss GT, 2 loss Clemson, and 1 loss Duke.

Screw the voting committee and their anti-ACC shenanigans
 
ACC teams won't move up beating other ACC teams unfortunately...all gotta win rivalry week.
 
white&gold said:
A 1 loss Oregon team, ranked ahead of an undefeated FSU.

A 3 loss LSU team ranked ahead of 2 loss GT, 2 loss Clemson, and 1 loss Duke.

Screw the voting committee and their anti-ACC shenanigans
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Also, Duke is the lowest-ranked 1 loss team.
 
Akinji07 said:
this. If we go 3-0, we'll make some ripples.
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Would love to see that and several ACC OOC wins but not really confident that it will happen

Fact is, ACC has wet the bed so many times in recent years the conference perception is still bad nationally
 
hdtvfan said:
Would love to see that but not really confident that it will happen



Fact is, ACC has wet the bed so many times in recent years the conference perception is still bad nationally
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Well it'll be nice to start from somewhere. Clemson and FSU are capable of taking care of SC and UF. We just gotta beat georgia somehow.
 
YankeeBuzz said:
ACC teams won't move up beating other ACC teams unfortunately...all gotta win rivalry week.
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Exactly! It's not only about how many losses you have. It's more about who did you beat. The ACC is very weak on competition compared to other conferences, which explains FSU's slide. I hope GT beefs up their OOC schedule because they can't rely on the ACC to provide enough quality opponents every year.
 
Nashville Jacket said:
Exactly! It's not only about how many losses you have. It's more about who did you beat. The ACC is very weak on competition compared to other conferences, which explains FSU's slide. I hope GT beefs up their OOC schedule because they can't rely on the ACC to provide enough quality opponents every year.
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On the one hand I agree with you, but on the other hand, many of the teams that are ahead of us are just beating other SEC opponents. Like CPJ said in a presser a few weeks ago - when the SEC gets 6-7 preseason top 25 teams every year, they beat each other up and then several teams get "top 25 wins". Even though we all know preseason rankings and ridiculous and meaningless when it comes to order, it DOES have an impact on how teams are ranked later in the season.

Just a BS system...
 
white&gold said:
On the one hand I agree with you, but on the other hand, many of the teams that are ahead of us are just beating other SEC opponents. Like CPJ said in a presser a few weeks ago - when the SEC gets 6-7 preseason top 25 teams every year, they beat each other up and then several teams get "top 25 wins". Even though we all know preseason rankings and ridiculous and meaningless when it comes to order, it DOES have an impact on how teams are ranked later in the season.

Just a BS system...
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If this really is the case then it will sort itself out in bowl season when overrated SEC teams get matched up against underrated non SEC teams.
 
ThisIsAtlanta said:
They only managed to win against TCU by 3, after a pass interference penalty brought them to within field goal range as the last seconds ticked off the clock. TCU led that game for all but 11 seconds in the second quarter when Baylor tied it at 24. When a head to head win is that threadbare, you can't use it as justification to concretely place one team over the other. Baylor is in the conversation because of it, but it doesn't make them the automatic winner.

So I look at Baylor's loss. They got dominated by WVU. Outgained by 150 yards (held to 318), ended up losing by 2 TDs despite being +3 in turnover margin. TCU doesn't have a mark like that on their resume. Their performance against WVU was much better, and they just finished dominating a dominant Kansas State team.

At the end of the day we can weasel the numbers to make any point we want, it's basically politics, but IMO TCU is the stronger team of the two and is good enough to be #4 over Baylor and Alabama both.
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Thank You +1
 
ThisIsAtlanta said:
If this really is the case then it will sort itself out in bowl season when overrated SEC teams get matched up against underrated non SEC teams.
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Yep. Just like FSU beat Auburn and Oklahoma beat Alabama last bowl season. Not that OK or FSU were necessarily underrated, but its not like the SEC dominated the post season last year.
 
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