coit
Y’all got any more of that D Fence?
- Joined
- Nov 29, 2007
- Messages
- 88,402
Here's the result of the 2019 Probability Polls.
Clem: 0.230 L
USF: 0.644 W
Citadel: 0.854 L
Temple: 0.696 L
UNC: 0.642 L
Duke: 0.652 L
Miami: 0.470 W
Pitt: 0.635 L
UVA: 0.528 L
VT: 0.627 L
NCS: 0.567 W
UGA: 0.371 L
Total: 6.917 wins (-0.6 wins from 2018 predictions)
Adjusted total thru Game 1: 6.687 wins (-0.230)
Adjusted total thru Game 2: 7.044 wins (+0.357)
Adjusted total thru Game 3: 6.189 wins (-0.855)
Adjusted total thru Game 4: 5.493 wins (-0.696)
Adjusted total thru Game 5: 4.851 wins (-0.642)
Adjusted total thru Game 6: 4.198 wins (-0.653)
Adjusted total thru Game 7: 4.728 wins (+0.530)
Adjusted total thru Game 8: 4.093 wins (-0.635)
Adjusted total thru Game 9: 3.565 wins (-0.528)
Adjusted total thru Game 10: 2.938 wins (-0.627)
Adjusted total thru Game 11: 3.371 wins (+0.433)
Adjusted total thru Game 12: 3.000 wins (-0.371)
Changes in probability from 2018 repeat opponents:
Clem: -0.086 L
USF: -0.029 W
UNC: -0.070 L
Duke: -0.013 L
Miami: -0.049 W
Pitt: -0.015 L
UVA: -0.208 L
VT: 0.077 L
UGA: -0.052 L
Average : -0.047
Cumulative: -0.329
So, we are roughly 5% less optimistic this year over last year
Ranking of toughest opponents by probability:
1 Clem: 0.230 L
2 UGA: 0.371 L
3 Miami: 0.470 W
4 UVA: 0.528 L
5 NCS: 0.567 W
6 VT: 0.627 L
7 Pitt: 0.635 L
8 UNC: 0.642 L
9 USF: 0.644 W
10 Duke: 0.652 L
11 Temple: 0.696 L
12 Citadel: 0.854 L
Here's the complete voting spreadsheet. I'll be tracking each voters record through the season as described in THIS thread if you voted for all 12 games.
LINK TO SPREADSHEET
Clem: 0.230 L
USF: 0.644 W
Citadel: 0.854 L
Temple: 0.696 L
UNC: 0.642 L
Duke: 0.652 L
Miami: 0.470 W
Pitt: 0.635 L
UVA: 0.528 L
VT: 0.627 L
NCS: 0.567 W
UGA: 0.371 L
Total: 6.917 wins (-0.6 wins from 2018 predictions)
Adjusted total thru Game 1: 6.687 wins (-0.230)
Adjusted total thru Game 2: 7.044 wins (+0.357)
Adjusted total thru Game 3: 6.189 wins (-0.855)
Adjusted total thru Game 4: 5.493 wins (-0.696)
Adjusted total thru Game 5: 4.851 wins (-0.642)
Adjusted total thru Game 6: 4.198 wins (-0.653)
Adjusted total thru Game 7: 4.728 wins (+0.530)
Adjusted total thru Game 8: 4.093 wins (-0.635)
Adjusted total thru Game 9: 3.565 wins (-0.528)
Adjusted total thru Game 10: 2.938 wins (-0.627)
Adjusted total thru Game 11: 3.371 wins (+0.433)
Adjusted total thru Game 12: 3.000 wins (-0.371)
Changes in probability from 2018 repeat opponents:
Clem: -0.086 L
USF: -0.029 W
UNC: -0.070 L
Duke: -0.013 L
Miami: -0.049 W
Pitt: -0.015 L
UVA: -0.208 L
VT: 0.077 L
UGA: -0.052 L
Average : -0.047
Cumulative: -0.329
So, we are roughly 5% less optimistic this year over last year
Ranking of toughest opponents by probability:
1 Clem: 0.230 L
2 UGA: 0.371 L
3 Miami: 0.470 W
4 UVA: 0.528 L
5 NCS: 0.567 W
6 VT: 0.627 L
7 Pitt: 0.635 L
8 UNC: 0.642 L
9 USF: 0.644 W
10 Duke: 0.652 L
11 Temple: 0.696 L
12 Citadel: 0.854 L
Here's the complete voting spreadsheet. I'll be tracking each voters record through the season as described in THIS thread if you voted for all 12 games.
LINK TO SPREADSHEET
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