2nd Chance POLL: What is the probability we beat Bowling Green in 2023

What is the probability we beat Bowling Green in 2023

  • Total voters
    69
  • Poll closed .
coit

coit

Bullseye
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
92,281
Poll to gauge the change in confidence as the season goes along.

BG: 1-3 / ESPN FPI -13.5 (+0.6 YTD)
GT: 2-2 / ESPN FPI 2.9 (+3.5 YTD)

GT ESPN FPI Win Probability: 89.4% (+2.5%)
 
öööö off, we're all completely dismissing this game as a lock sure-fire blowout give the points play the 3rd stringers win and totally looking ahead to Miami.
 
madRazor said:
öööö off, we're all completely dismissing this game as a lock sure-fire blowout give the points play the 3rd stringers win and totally looking ahead to Miami.
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We are a lock to win the next 2 weeks.
 
Voter apathy setting in, which is odd after a big win. Vote people!
 
0.90 but that's because I can't put in 100%. It's time for a beatdown and for offense to have a 500 yd 5 TD+ game on Sat.
 
gt9589 said:
20%?? Is manjano mdudu the oral dove?
Click to expand...

I would chalk it up to him being old and senile and clicking the wrong button, but it appears that he's just a douchebag.

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2nd chance probability is 0.841, a decrease of 1.54% from the pre-season poll. Since the ESPN FPI numbers showed a small increase in probability, this is somewhat out of sync. I chalk it up to the limitations of the polling method, since those that voted 0.9 previously can't register a higher percentage.

Additionally, removing @manjano mdudu's ridiculous 0.2 vote (he did not vote in the pre-season poll as shown above) makes the probability essentially equal to preseason.
 
If our rebuild efforts are unable to put up a victory against a bad MAC team whose only victory is against an FCS team, then we have a more serious problem than the viability of this poll
 
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