2nd Chance POLL: What is the probability we beat FSU in 2022

2nd Chance: What is the probability we beat FSU in 2022


  • Total voters
    117
  • Poll closed .

coit

Bullseye
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
92,301
FSU: 4-3 / ESPN FPI +10.0 (+1.5 YTD)
GT: 3-4 / ESPN FPI -5.4 (-5.0 YTD)

GT ESPN Win Probability: 9.1% (-8.8% YTD)
 
FSU ain't that good, but we worse. .30 and sadly, I'm being optimistic.
 
I am giving us a 20% chance. More than likely we get boat raced. However; FSU could come out flat and we could come out firing on all cylinders. You never know. That's why they play the game, as they say.
 
Depends on who's at QB for us. I like our odds a lot more if it's not Gibson, but I'm also not in practice...
 
Had to go down to .2 due to the QB situation. Would be .4 with a healthy Sims.
 
0.1 Sims looks doubtful and the backup will be running OB short of the first down when Sims exits the game early.
 
2nd chance probability is 0.270, a decrease of 33% from the pre-season poll.

As the saying goes, all good things must come to an end. FSU's FPI and rank have gone up since the pre-season, with them moving from 33 to 20 in the FPI ranking.
 
2nd chance probability is 0.270, a decrease of 33% from the pre-season poll.

As the saying goes, all good things must come to an end. FSU's FPI and rank have gone up since the pre-season, with them moving from 33 to 20 in the FPI ranking.
Quality losses
 
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