2nd Chance POLL: What is the probability we beat Miami in 2024

2nd Chance: What is the probability we beat Miami in 2024


  • Total voters
    72
  • Poll closed .

coit

Bullseye
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
92,099
Poll to gauge the change in confidence as the season goes along.

Miami: 9-0 / ESPN FPI 19.5 (+9.9 YTD)
GT: 5-4 / ESPN FPI 5.7 (+3.6 YTD)

GT ESPN FPI Win Probability: 23.1% (-3.8 YTD)
ST Pre-Season Win Probability: 59.7%


Is Miami back? Offensively, yes. Defense is highly suspect, giving up over 30 ppg to everyone except FSU, and they will struggle to stop a King-led GT offense. What do y'all think?
 
If we use Duke as a measuring stick, we beat Miami like a drum.
Provided HK starts. Thru the UNC game, we were pretty much #1 or 2 nationally in not turning the ball over (two turnovers total heading into ND). So I think we have an opportunity to win the TO battle. UM has thrown 9 pics and 3 lost fumbles to date. Duke gifted the canes 4 turnovers. We cannot give them even one.
 
LBs have to be disciplined and stay in their lanes, DBs have to be patient too and not let anyone go free. Having Efford back there is crucial. Having H King back is even more crucial in order for us to keep pace scoring wise.
 
The only way we have a chance is to force Ward to make bad passes and turn the ball over or hold the ball on offense. He can be a streaky QB. Regardless of the QB we play we have to score 30+ to win.
 
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Nice!

Now vote.
 
2nd chance probability is 0.399, a decrease of 33% from the pre-season poll.

Another significant drop. Time for a soul crushing upset I'm thinking.
 
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