2nd Chance POLL: What is the probability we beat Ole Miss in 2022

2nd Chance: What is the probability we beat Ole Miss in 2022


  • Total voters
    131
  • Poll closed .

coit

Bullseye
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
92,307
Ole Miss: 2-0 / ESPN FPI 14.0 (+1.6)
GT: 1-1 / ESPN FPI -5.1 (-4.7)

Ole Miss ESPN Win Probability: 87.9% (+10.6%)
 
You have to throw out 0.9 votes because they’re outliers, will corrupt your analysis.

The way I see it, there are about as many that vote 0.9 in every poll as those who vote 0.1 in every poll. So they more or less negate one another.
 
The way I see it, there are about as many that vote 0.9 in every poll as those who vote 0.1 in every poll. So they more or less negate one another.
The .1 sits within 1 standard deviation of the mean. It’s not an outlier. .9 is.
 
The .1 sits within 1 standard deviation of the mean. It’s not an outlier. .9 is.

We are sitting at about 0.265. If you remove the three 0.9 votes and three 0.1 votes, you get 0.248. Your point is valid but not like this is scientific by any means.
 
Ole Miss: 2-0 / ESPN FPI 14.0 (+1.6)
GT: 1-1 / ESPN FPI -5.1 (-4.7)

Ole Miss ESPN Win Probability: 87.9% (+10.6%)
wow - think about that - that'a a really high number and from a don't care view. GT should never be that low against Ole MISS.
 
We are sitting at about 0.265. If you remove the three 0.9 votes and three 0.1 votes, you get 0.248. Your point is valid but not like this is scientific by any means.
I know. Just trying to be a pain in the ass like most stingtalkers.
 
The way I see it, there are about as many that vote 0.9 in every poll as those who vote 0.1 in every poll. So they more or less negate one another.

currently 28-4

I would bet more than 4 of the 28 vote 0.1 all the time.
 
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