2nd Chance POLL: What is the probability we beat VT in 2024

2nd Chance: What is the probability we beat VT in 2024


  • Total voters
    76
  • Poll closed .

coit

Bullseye
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
93,777
Poll to gauge the change in confidence as the season goes along.

VT: 4-3 / ESPN FPI 8.8 (+5.8 YTD)
GT: 5-3 / ESPN FPI 6.2 (+4.1 YTD)

GT ESPN FPI Win Probability: 36.0% (+2.4 YTD)
ST Pre-Season Win Probability: 67.9%


Tough one to gauge with injury uncertainty. Interestingly, our FPI did not drop much with the loss, I suppose due to the pop in SOS, and our ranking actually went up 5 spots to #37.
 
We just need an emergency influx of mind=right juice after Notre Dame, and we'll be ready!
 

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On paper VT is the better team. The opportunity for victory will come down to execution, especially on defense.
 
I'm not impressed with VT. Everybody is hanging their hat on the VT-Miami game but VT was gifted 3 turnovers and still lost.

VT has not even sniffed holding anybody (cupcakes included) under 100 yards rushing.

I cannot find a single stat that justifies thinking we can't win up there with Pyron.

I picked 0.9 but that just doesn't have much of a ring to it so let me put it another way: If we played them TEN times, we win NINE of them.

We will beat these doofuses and we'll beat NC St, get to 7 wins and a respectable bowl game.
 
If Pyron plays he cannot sit in the pocket and take too much time and get sacked. To me, last Sat they were coverage sacks. He has to take off and run north-south if there’s nothing there and not force bad passes.
 
VPI is No. 18 in the country in rush offense.
We've played four teams in bottom third of rush offense - FSU (130 in the nation in rush offense), Syracuse (120), Duke (113) and Ga. State (98). FWIW, the best rush opposing rush offense so far was Notre Dame (17).
It's all going to come down to the front 6 or 7 - and if we decide to send secondary help against the run, will VPI run play action and throw it deep.
Don't think it matters greatly who are QB is, if we can't get them off the field.
 
2nd chance probability is 0.534, a decrease of 21.4% from the pre-season poll.

Well that's certainly a significant drop. I assume everyone is baking in that King will be out.
 
This poll was BOGUS. Obviously needed an option for 0.0.
 
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