Cautionary tale about the portal

ricejacket

Damn Good Rat
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Jun 12, 2005
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Long read copied from t Athletic. Have to think there are a boatload of kids in the same situation. I'd expect the number of transfers to go down in the coming years because of situations like this: (Part 1)

How a former all-conference player got stuck in the transfer portal, what he learned and how he plans to get out


Where is Kris Moll these days? His current location is Miami, if you want to be precise. He moved back home for the spring and is staying busy lifting, training and waiting.

But figuratively? For now, yes, he’s stuck in the transfer portal.

It’s hard to believe a player with Moll’s resume is in this predicament. The UAB grad transfer linebacker was a three-year starter with 51 college games under his belt. He has produced 234 tackles, 27.5 tackles for loss, 13 sacks, six forced fumbles and two interceptions in his career. He made first-team All-Conference USA in back-to-back seasons. Phil Steele even named him an honorable mention All-American in 2020.

Yet four months after putting his name in the portal, Moll is still struggling to convince college coaches to take a one-season shot on him. How does this happen?

The process had seemingly started off quite well. So many coaches were calling and texting when he entered the portal on Dec. 3, including several at Power 5 programs. Moll can say in hindsight that he misplayed his situation, missing out on some potentially great opportunities. He’s living in uncomfortable uncertainty as he awaits his next one.

“I felt like I was one of the best players in the country a year ago, and now I don’t even have a spot to go to,” Moll said. “I’m just like, ‘Wow.’ It’s kind of weird. I understand it. But it’s just crazy.”

There are hundreds more players just like him these days, still available in the NCAA transfer portal and hunting for their next home. They believed the portal would send them somewhere better. Maybe, in time, it still will. But over the course of his own stressful search, Moll had to learn the tough lessons about how portal recruiting actually works.

The first lesson: You need to understand how to play the process.

UAB was Moll’s only FBS offer coming out of Coral Gables High School. He didn’t go through the big-time recruiting experience like many of his Dade County peers. So when the transfer offers started coming in quickly, he figured this was going to be fun.

“A lot of schools hit me up the first day,” he said. “I really wasn’t too sure how to take it, but I felt like a big dog and an All-American. I was like, ‘You know what? I wanna go Power 5. I wanna prove to everybody I’m the best.’ I was trying to just talk to the Power 5 schools.”

Louisville was one of the first to call and extend an offer. Inside linebackers coach Derek Nicholson visited Moll in Birmingham the next week and expressed serious interest, so Moll got an official visit scheduled for Dec. 8. He heard from a lot of coaches at Group of 5 schools during those early weeks and admits he wasn’t great about responding to many of them.

Moll went on the Louisville visit and thought it went great. He felt so good about this potential new home, in fact, that while he was on the Louisville trip, he decided to cancel the official visit he was going to take next, to SMU. He was just that sure he’d commit to Louisville.

When he called a few days later to check in and share that he was considering committing, Moll was told Louisville was going in a different direction. He contacted SMU and learned they’d already filled their spot. UCF told him the same. Arizona had talked about setting up an official visit but went with someone else as well. He tried to hit up Louisiana, Coastal Carolina and the Group of 5 schools he hadn’t taken seriously at first. No luck.

“I had a lot of G5 schools and I didn’t pay attention to any of them,” he said. “I was just so big-headed about trying to go Power 5, which was so dumb of me. I didn’t really know how to work all of this.”

The moral of the story isn’t just about the folly of putting all your eggs in one basket. It’s not that simple. What Moll experienced is the stark difference in the speed and urgency of portal recruiting. As one college coach summed it up to The Athletic: High school recruitments take two years. Transfer recruitments take two weeks.

Sure, the pressure is on the coaches to go win those battles as fast as they can. But most players who bet on themselves and go in the portal must be careful not to squander whichever options arise. Moll was one of 502 FBS scholarship players who entered the portal in December. It can be easy to get lost in that flood. And the offers that get thrown around have expiration dates.

“I got left with no fallback school,” Moll said. “The spring semester came and there were no spots for me at schools where I really wanted to go. I’d just jumped in blindly and it kind of bit me in the butt a little bit. I had all those offers and thought it was all sweet. When that one spot didn’t work out, it got hard because I really didn’t build relationships with other coaches.”

Now he’s having to put in the work of reaching out to them, reconnecting with the ones he’s met or heard from and making the case for why they need him. The 22-year-old linebacker had to refine his approach, learning how to better converse with recruiters. “I really didn’t know the right and wrong answers, what’s a good or bad thing to say,” he said.

Moll has tweeted out a couple times that he’s still uncommitted, hoping more FBS coaches will notice. He can tell, though, that there’s apprehension right now. It’s like the suspicion a house listed on Zillow for too many months evokes: Why didn’t anyone else bite? What’s wrong here?

“A lot of schools hit me up and they always ask me: ‘Whatever happened with Louisville? Why didn’t you go there?’” Moll said. “Or they’ll say, ‘I thought you were committed.’ It’s a lot of worries with these coaches. I just need somebody to give me a shot.”

Another lesson: If you enter the portal, be prepared for scrutiny.

Moll is proud of what he put on tape as a playmaker for the Blazers’ defense. He hoped that film along with his experience and accolades would net a good list of scholarship offers. But clearly, there are reasons why the offers aren’t rolling in.

He’s been a positional tweener during his college career. In 2017, Moll arrived at UAB as an undersized linebacker at 6-foot-1 and about 183 pounds. He got up to 200 pounds by the end of fall camp and played on special teams as a freshman. At the end of the spring in 2018, he was moved to nickelback. He had never played in the secondary but put in the work to catch up, earn a starting role and enjoy a breakout sophomore season for the Conference USA champs.

When he was able to get up to 215 pounds entering 2019, his coaches let him play middle linebacker. Moll put up big numbers: 104 tackles, 16 tackles for loss, nine sacks, four forced fumbles and an interception. “He’s just got such a knack for the ball,” UAB coach Bill Clark told reporters that fall.
 
(Part 2)
Moll did all that while playing with an injured left ankle. He had offseason surgery and thought about redshirting in 2020 to fully recover. Instead, he kept on playing and put together another all-conference season for UAB, which won the league again.

But now his ankle needed another procedure going into 2021. He could feel it was affecting his mobility. He was losing weight, too. Moll was moved back to nickel and then to boundary safety. He was fine with the fit, at least at first, until he learned he wouldn’t start in the season opener.

After playing just 10 snaps in their second game against Georgia, a frustrated Moll asked his coaches to move him back to linebacker. He was still around 200 pounds but had a solid performance against North Texas. The following week, he suffered a broken right thumb against Tulane and underwent surgery to have pins put in.

“They wanted me to play with it,” Moll said. “It was a 10-week recovery for the injury. All I had to do was approve it. I practiced a couple times and did pretty good, but I didn’t want to waste my last year injured. I’d rather be completely healthy and back to the right weight. I was going to be playing linebacker with one hand at 200 pounds. It was going to be hard. I couldn’t lift and didn’t have as much muscle on me. It was a big decision for me. But the coaches definitely wanted me to play.”

Moll didn’t agree and elected to sit out the rest of the season. He recognized it was time to move on. So he focused on getting healthy, earned his degree in communications in December and turned his attention to the portal.

All of that history and context? In portal recruiting, it matters. When coaches evaluate a veteran transfer like Moll, they’re not really looking to make a projection about what he might ideally become if fully healthy. They’re trying to meet a need and can’t afford to miss. When Moll showed up for his Louisville official visit, he was still at 200 pounds and hadn’t been lifting due to the thumb injury. Combine that with his injury history and, understandably, Scott Satterfield would have concerns.

“I probably wasn’t looking the best,” Moll admits. “That’s always been a problem for me. You’ve gotta pass the eye test as a football player, and I really didn’t pass the eye test as much as they wanted or expected me to. After talking to the coaches, I guess the head coach mentioned that he thought I wasn’t going to really be able to hold up for the whole season.”

One week later, Louisville signed Ole Miss transfer MoMo Sanogo. Taking a 6-foot-1, 230-pound linebacker who was a multi-year SEC starter was a safer bet. SMU went with Jaqwondis Burns (Minnesota) and Shanon Reid (Tennessee/Illinois State) and added them in January. UCF managed to land Maryland’s Terrence Lewis, a former five-star recruit. Moll found out just how much competition there is for these limited spots. And if a coach isn’t sold on a player — or isn’t hearing back from them — they’re moving on to the next target.

Power 5 coaching staffs might watch Moll and conclude he’s not big enough for linebacker or not fast enough for the secondary. He’s used to it. “I’ve always been a smaller dude, undersized, not the first pick,” he said, “so it doesn’t surprise me.” He hopes they’re turning on the tape from 2019 and 2020 and watching him at his best. But they’re often looking for specific fits for their schemes. Moll having almost 2,000 career snaps of experience would ordinarily be an advantage, but there’s no shortage of super seniors like him available who have an extra year of eligibility.

It might seem like the transfer portal delivers an everyone-wants-you kind of experience for most players, but that’s only true for the most talented 20 or 25 percent who are undeniably Power 5-caliber players. For Moll and everybody else, this is like any other job search. It’s about timing, connections and luck. And it’s not easy to navigate all by yourself.

The old truism in recruiting does still hold up today: It only takes one.

Moll is willing to go pretty much anywhere for his next stop. He just wants to play. And he still trusts this is all going to work out.

“I’m not worried,” Moll said. “I know there are plenty of schools that will take a chance on me, and that’s all I need.”

There will be another wave of players entering the portal in April and May. He’s hoping that means more teams are about to have linebacker needs. A few coaches have told Moll they’ll reassess after seeing what they’ve got in spring ball. The portal works in odd ways like that: More linebackers going in might just help him get out. In the meantime, he’s building up relationships and staying persistent.

“I just try to make sure they know I’m serious,” Moll said. “I’m trying to go there, I’m ready to work, I’m ready to take coaching, all that stuff. I’m ready and I’m not playing around.”

He insists his right thumb feels fine now and his weight is nearing 220 pounds. He gets why coaches would be concerned about his durability but argues that’s just part of the game. He’s put a lot of good things on tape while playing hurt, and he’s getting all this time off to recover. He just needs to convince someone to put their faith in him.

Moll truly does believe he’s closing in on the offers he’s been coveting. Eastern Kentucky and Tennessee State, two FCS programs, have offered. He’ll happily go play at that level if nobody else wants him. But Moll does believe if a bigger school pulls the trigger on an offer, several more will follow.

“I just feel like they’re overthinking it, honestly,” Moll said.

If a Group of 5 school steps up with an offer, he understands now that he must move quickly on exploring that option. He doesn’t intend to miss out on any more opportunities. While he hopes he can get this all figured out before May, Moll knows the timing is largely out of his control.

As he sits at home in Miami, waiting day after day for the call, Moll hopes sharing his story can in some way help connect him with the right coach. And he’s happy to offer some free advice to the college football players going through spring practice who aren’t sure whether they should stay put or test their luck.

“Oh no. Don’t do it,” he says with a laugh. “Stay where you’re at. Don’t get into that portal. Coming from me, thinking I was gonna get all these offers right away, man … yeah, stay in school. Do not get in the portal.”
 
I expect a lot of transfer portal signings during the summer. It's normal for players to over-estimate their own value and want to wait for a prime football program to start calling, while declining what they see as lesser offers. Likewise, the schools won't know what positions need to be recruited until they get through spring practice with injuries, attrition, and figuring out where their younger players are in the development process. In the end, it might be a reality check for many of the athletes, but there should be opportunities for most of them when the deadline for enrollment comes along. The COVID year created a pool of extra eligible athletes, but I think it also expanded roster capabilities if the programs can justify the cost of filling them.
 
I expect a lot of transfer portal signings during the summer. It's normal for players to over-estimate their own value and want to wait for a prime football program to start calling, while declining what they see as lesser offers. Likewise, the schools won't know what positions need to be recruited until they get through spring practice with injuries, attrition, and figuring out where their younger players are in the development process. In the end, it might be a reality check for many of the athletes, but there should be opportunities for most of them when the deadline for enrollment comes along. The COVID year created a pool of extra eligible athletes, but I think it also expanded roster capabilities if the programs can justify the cost of filling them.
Rosters were only expanded for one year. It will take 4-5 years for all the extra COVID eligibility to work is way through the system.
 
Rosters were only expanded for one year. It will take 4-5 years for all the extra COVID eligibility to work is way through the system.
That means rosters are still expanded until the extra COVID guys are out. You get 85 plus your "COVID year" seniors.
 
That means rosters are still expanded until the extra COVID guys are out. You get 85 plus your "COVID year" seniors.
Additional scholarship spots were only available to SAs in their last year of eligibility in 2000. Everyone is back to 85 for football. With a larger pool of athletes (due to an extra year of eligibility for everyone) it is going to be very tough for kids to find a spot.
 
Good for him that he at least finished his degree (at UAB, I guess). It seems weird that other than that one sentence, academics aren't mentioned at all in the entire lengthy article. Nothing about meeting academic requirements, going somewhere that offers a degree you want, or really anything other than minor league football free agency, but instead of 32 teams and 500 players (or whatever), you're in a pool with hundreds of teams and thousands of players (from high school recruits to one-year grad transfers). Nobody has time to dig through all the ins and outs that got you to where you are, they're mostly going to look at measurables and stats and make a decision, and if you hesitate, there's 5 other dudes lined up to take that spot.

We'll never go back, I'm sure, but it sure does seem like for the majority of players, finding the right college at the right level for your skills and the right level of academics for the rest of your life after football and sticking with it for your career is usually going to lead to the best outcome. There are outliers who turn out to be much better than expected and could potentially move up (but even then, the true star players at the small schools seem to get found by the NFL), and people who really do need to transfer for personal or academic reasons, but those are the exception. The hundreds of dudes ditching what they've got for an overestimated shot at finding something better are the rule.

JRjr
 
Additional scholarship spots were only available to SAs in their last year of eligibility in 2000. Everyone is back to 85 for football. With a larger pool of athletes (due to an extra year of eligibility for everyone) it is going to be very tough for kids to find a spot.
Yeah that's right. I was thinking that carried over. It should have and we wouldn't have this problem.
 
As a head coach I would try to stay away from portal players unless they had unusual circumstances. A lot of the kids in the portal are there because they perceive the grass to be greener elsewhere. Or to put it bluntly, they’re quitters and their commitment and word is probably less than desirable most of the time.
 
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