#### Akinji07

##### Inventor of Thursdays

- Joined
- Mar 28, 2011

- Messages
- 28,930

**CURRENT PRICE:**

**$3,035.16**The original post:

OK, so I think I did a better job this time.

I don't have any guess work on injuries, importance of a game, rivalry factors or all that other crap. I took Coit's preseason polls multiplied the number of responders with the scores then divided that by a thousand to come up with a preseason BHC price of $1774.01. Then I introduced two factors that change the price, one is the score. So 14/(52+14) is the .2121 and the probability for Clemson game was .23. So that drives the price up. The second one is the poll for next game, which I just introduced a short while ago, and that measures your confidence in the team and if the new polls results are lower then it drives up the price of the BHC for a second time for closing. So you'll have two prices each week. After the first week loss to Clemson the price is currently

**$1781.18.**This price is good until Friday at 5pm.

The preseason poll results for the USF game was 0.644. If this week's poll is showing let's say for example 0.782 probability then Friday's closing price will be $1,586.23.

Then if Tech beats USF 28-7 the opening price on Monday will be $1582.18.

I'll send the spreadsheet to coit later and he can upload it to google sheets or whatever so y'all can see the calculations and play around with scenarios and what not.

You have $75,000 to start with, which is exactly @faujacket's net worth. The exchange charges you 3% per buy transaction after the initial buy in. You can also short BHC with 2% interest per week. Interest will be charged on the closing day one week after your short. If your short plus interest is over your portfolio's value with the closing price the following week then you're out of the game.

Any transactions you send between Friday at 5pm and gametime will be at closing price. Any transactions you post after the end of the game until next Friday will be at opening price. You can post transactions at any time. For NC State game the market will close on Wednesday at 5pm.

You can post your transactions in this thread.

edit: transactions posted during the game will also be subjected to opening price after the game.

Link to the spreadsheet I built for calculations

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