I'm probably in the minority here, but I believe after the top 2-3 teams , in terms of recruiting rankings is a crapshoot at best...I mean, how in the world can there be any "accuracy" in comparing, say, #38 and #28 in rankings ? Its almost silly. Did these rankings experts r eally sit down and watch the appropriate amount of film on a HS player in order to make these assessments ? If so, then the amt of film required would be staggering.
I think, as many folks do, that the experts have to be "in house" , with the staff, who, IMO are FAR FAR better able to judge talent.
Then, after they arrive there are added variables, like adjusting to college, adjusting to the speed of the game, enthusiasm with the rigors of college FB, being in the best position for your abilities, strength and conditioning, etc etc etc...There are just too many variables to deal with, to assess where an 18 year old will be mentally and physically over the next 4-5 years...Again, there are obvious exceptions, like the top 2-3 teams, who might have more "no miss" SAs than, say comparing between most schools recruiting..