POLL: What is the probability we beat Louisville in 2023

[coit]

Fri, September 1 vs Louisville - 7:30 PM ET

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Next game: SC State
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ESPN Pre-Season FPI Rank: 48
FPI Differential: -5.7
Win Probability: 34.2%

The Brent Key era officially begins with a Friday night lights style matchup at the Benz. I posted a bit about the publishing schedule for this season in the 2023 Pre-Season Probability Poll Discussion thread.

Unlike the previous few seasons, we aren't starting off with a virtually unwinnable game. Optimism reigns on the Flats and we have a solid chance of starting the season 1-0. Louisville will be breaking in a new head coach as well.

 

[jacket67]

Opening weekend games are even more of a crap shoot than the rest of the season. I'm leaning on some pseudo-home field advantage, and Key has had more time to instill his discipline and system than Brohm.

 

[andrew]

Let's go

 

[gtg712x]

It’s still tripping me up that Louisville has the third best odds to win the ACC (tied with UNC) after Clemson and FSU. They’re kind of a blind spot for me in the ACC, but I guess they’re supposed to be kind of good this year?

is it just new coach optimism or a stellar transfer class, or what?

 

[swampsting]

It’s still tripping me up that Louisville has the third best odds to win the ACC (tied with UNC) after Clemson and FSU. They’re kind of a blind spot for me in the ACC, but I guess they’re supposed to be kind of good this year?

is it just new coach optimism or a stellar transfer class, or what?

Yes, and yes. Brohm was 30-10 at WKU and 17-9 his last two years at Purdue. And they brought in about two dozen transfers.
Louisville was 8-5 last year, beat Cincinnati in bowl game at Fenway Park.
Not going to be a pushover, folks.

 

[JimmyMcJacket]

It’s still tripping me up that Louisville has the third best odds to win the ACC (tied with UNC) after Clemson and FSU. They’re kind of a blind spot for me in the ACC, but I guess they’re supposed to be kind of good this year?

is it just new coach optimism or a stellar transfer class, or what?

I think only Louisville and UVA don't have to play Clemson or FSU. Looking at their conference schedule, they might have the easiest path to the ACCCG.

 

[coit]

Bumpity bump bump

 

[WracerX]

I’m thinking it takes him a year or two to get his offense rolling. After that he will probably average 5-3 conference records.

 

[coit]

Pole closing tonite.