POLL: What is the probability we beat Virginia in 2019?

What is the probability we beat Virginia in 2019?

  • Total voters
    111
  • Poll closed .
coit

coit

Bullseye
Joined
Nov 29, 2007
Messages
93,679
Sat, Nov 9 @ Virginia - TBD PM ET

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Last game: Pittsburgh
Next game: Virginia Tech
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ESPN Pre-Season FPI Rank: 43
FPI Differential: -10.3
Win Probability: 16.6%

The pundits are saying that this is the Cavs year to shine. Bronco's plans coming to bear, experienced returning players, etc, etc. We all know the Bronc tended to have CPJ's number in past meetings, but he won't have that advantage to fall back on this year. And we made them bigcry just last season. They return a QB who was pretty average last season, but he's a year older and has a strong supporting cast. Defensively they should be pretty strong in all phases of the game, although they had some weakness against the run last year.
 
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I think the CavMen are a bit overrated. Their 7 regular season wins were aided by a non-conference slate that included Richmond, Ohio and Liberty. Lost to a couple of mediocre teams (VPI and us). I would say this is a tossup at home, but in Charlottesville, I will call it a 0.4.
 
It seems strange to me that a team that finished 3rd in the Coastal (4-4 in the conference) last season and lost some key players, is this year's darling with the media. I think it is some weird group dynamic where nobody has a clue, so they all rally behind the first guy's wild guess. The bubble will likely pop long before we go to Charlottesville in November, but our history there is not good, so I think it's a 50/50 game.
 
I thought they looked like a team that could be good if they would just get out of their own way with poor play-calling on offense. One of those teams that's able to have a good day and upset a solid team or have a bad day and lose to poor/mediocre teams. Kind of like Chan in the 00's.
 
UVA is supposed to be decent and we're playing at that stupid, cursed place so this is one of our losses, unfortunately.
 
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