LegendaryGT
Dodd-Like
- Joined
- Oct 18, 2009
- Messages
- 62,557
The predictor was a perfect 6-0 ATS in last week's thread, and went 4-1 on the money line (only missing the Duke game, and not picking a winner in the UF game). It also probably has more memories of Saturday than I do.
And the rest of the schedule:
GT 17, PITT 21
GT 15, FSU 28
GT 60, UVA 26
GT 54, VT 31
GT 42, MIA 30
GT 37, UGA 45
It flipped its forecast in the Pitt game, so it thinks we're going 5-7. Bowl waver inbound.
Made an update to the predictor poll to make it more human readable and to reduce the weird outliers. The format is now, from left to right, composite rating, simulated wins, simulated losses, actual FBS wins*, actual FBS losses*.
* The criteria for being counted as an FBS school for the purposes of the algorithm actually excludes Georgia State and Charlotte, so totals may not match for teams on their schedules.
Predictor said:GT vs CLEM
Week 6 of 2015
GT - Offense
Yardage: 401 ypg
Performance: 13 (higher is better)
Scoring: 34
Efficiency: 11 (lower is better)
Performance: 36 (higher is better)
GT - Defense
Yardage: 335 ypg allowed
Performance: 30 (higher is better)
Scoring: 28
Efficiency: 11 (higher is better)
Performance: -18 (higher is better)
CLEM - Offense
Yardage: 361 ypg
Performance: 11 (higher is better)
Scoring: 28
Efficiency: 12 (lower is better)
Performance: 25 (higher is better)
CLEM - Defense
Yardage: 338 ypg allowed
Performance: 31 (higher is better)
Scoring: 16
Efficiency: 20 (higher is better)
Performance: 64 (higher is better)
Prediction:
Pure statistical: GT 22 (300 yards), CLEM 30 (304 yards)
GT best case: GT 27 (387 yards), CLEM 15 (253 yards)
CLEM best case: GT 15 (239 yards), CLEM 41 (380 yards)
GT talent: 5051
CLEM talent: 10803
GT talent of schedule: 6406
CLEM talent of schedule: 6035
Suggested talent adjustment: 53% towards CLEM best case
Final: GT 18 (267 yards), CLEM 36 (345 yards)
And the rest of the schedule:
GT 17, PITT 21
GT 15, FSU 28
GT 60, UVA 26
GT 54, VT 31
GT 42, MIA 30
GT 37, UGA 45
It flipped its forecast in the Pitt game, so it thinks we're going 5-7. Bowl waver inbound.
Predictor Poll said:#1: ('FLA', [0.9875, 117, 3, 5, 0])
#2: ('OKLA', [0.975, 114, 6, 4, 0])
#3: ('FSU', [0.9667, 112, 8, 4, 0])
#4: ('IOWA', [0.9583, 110, 10, 4, 0])
#5: ('OSU', [0.9542, 109, 11, 5, 0])
#6: ('NW', [0.9417, 106, 14, 4, 0])
#7: ('BAY', [0.9417, 106, 14, 3, 0])
#8: ('CLEM', [0.9417, 106, 14, 2, 0])
#9: ('LSU', [0.9333, 104, 16, 4, 0])
#10: ('UTAH', [0.9333, 104, 16, 4, 0])
#11: ('TAMU', [0.9292, 103, 17, 3, 0])
#12: ('ALA', [0.9, 120, 0, 4, 1])
#13: ('MICH', [0.8958, 119, 1, 4, 1])
#14: ('STAN', [0.8833, 116, 4, 4, 1])
#15: ('TCU', [0.875, 90, 30, 4, 0])
#16: ('USC', [0.8667, 118, 2, 3, 1])
#17: ('CAL', [0.8542, 85, 35, 4, 0])
#18: ('HOU', [0.8542, 85, 35, 3, 0])
#19: ('UGA', [0.8333, 110, 10, 3, 1])
#20: ('TOL', [0.8292, 79, 41, 4, 0])
#21: ('NAVY', [0.8292, 79, 41, 3, 0])
#22: ('ND', [0.825, 102, 18, 4, 1])
#23: ('MISS', [0.8042, 103, 17, 3, 1])
#24: ('MSU', [0.7833, 68, 52, 5, 0])
#25: ('TEM', [0.7708, 65, 55, 3, 0])
#59: ('GT', [0.5042, 91, 29, 1, 3])
Made an update to the predictor poll to make it more human readable and to reduce the weird outliers. The format is now, from left to right, composite rating, simulated wins, simulated losses, actual FBS wins*, actual FBS losses*.
* The criteria for being counted as an FBS school for the purposes of the algorithm actually excludes Georgia State and Charlotte, so totals may not match for teams on their schedules.