Predictor Week 9

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LegendaryGT

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Predictor said:
GT vs UVA
Week 9 of 2015

GT - Offense
Yardage: 343 ypg
Performance: 3 (higher is better)
Scoring: 24
Efficiency: 14 (lower is better)
Performance: 27 (higher is better)
GT - Defense
Yardage: 382 ypg allowed
Performance: 10 (higher is better)
Scoring: 32
Efficiency: 11 (higher is better)
Performance: -12 (higher is better)

UVA - Offense
Yardage: 340 ypg
Performance: -3 (higher is better)
Scoring: 17
Efficiency: 19 (lower is better)
Performance: -28 (higher is better)
UVA - Defense
Yardage: 377 ypg allowed
Performance: 7 (higher is better)
Scoring: 33
Efficiency: 11 (higher is better)
Performance: -9 (higher is better)

Prediction:

Pure statistical: GT 40 (355 yards), UVA 22 (320 yards)
GT best case: GT 48 (404 yards), UVA 18 (291 yards)
UVA best case: GT 24 (311 yards), UVA 26 (366 yards)

GT talent: 5051
UVA talent: 6754
GT talent of schedule: 8535
UVA talent of schedule: 5354

Suggested talent adjustment: 14% towards GT best case
Final: GT 41 (363 yards), UVA 22 (315 yards)
Click to expand...

Looks like it has switched from overestimating us to underestimating us. And it still picks us to destroy UVA. I wonder what the line will be.

The rest:
GT 31, VT 31
GT 38, MIA 32
GT 32, UGA 43

5-7 or 6-6, depending upon how overtime with VT goes. It no longer favors either team, predicting exactly 31 points and 334 yards from each side. We've reached some sort of weird Tech singularity.

The poll:

Predictor said:
#1: ('CLEM', [0.996, 124, 1, 6, 0])
#2: ('OSU', [0.988, 122, 3, 8, 0])
#3: ('LSU', [0.976, 119, 6, 7, 0])
#4: ('BAY', [0.948, 112, 13, 6, 0])
#5: ('IOWA', [0.944, 111, 14, 6, 0])
#6: ('ALA', [0.9375, 125, 0, 7, 1])
#7: ('MSU', [0.908, 102, 23, 8, 0])
#8: ('FLA', [0.9046, 119, 6, 6, 1])
#9: ('OKLA', [0.9006, 118, 7, 6, 1])
#10: ('HOU', [0.9, 100, 25, 6, 0])
#11: ('ND', [0.8926, 116, 9, 6, 1])
#12: ('TCU', [0.892, 98, 27, 6, 0])
#13: ('FSU', [0.8846, 114, 11, 6, 1])
#14: ('STAN', [0.8766, 112, 13, 6, 1])
#15: ('OKST', [0.868, 92, 33, 5, 0])
#16: ('UTAH', [0.8606, 108, 17, 6, 1])
#17: ('TOL', [0.856, 89, 36, 7, 0])
#18: ('MEM', [0.852, 88, 37, 6, 0])
#19: ('MICH', [0.8491, 123, 2, 5, 2])
#20: ('WIS', [0.835, 115, 10, 6, 2])
#21: ('TEM', [0.82, 80, 45, 6, 0])
#22: ('APP', [0.8167, 100, 25, 5, 1])
#23: ('UNC', [0.816, 104, 21, 4, 1])
#24: ('MSST', [0.8011, 111, 14, 5, 2])
#25: ('MISS', [0.7931, 109, 16, 5, 2])
Click to expand...

#58: ('GT', [0.5189, 94, 31, 2, 5])
Click to expand...

#95: ('UVA', [0.2633, 45, 80, 1, 5])
Click to expand...

Predictor loves mid majors...?
 
I think it just loves zero losses and big margins.
 
Miami is a total unknown right now with Golden out. They may pull a USC and get better, they may tank.

UGA in the post-Chubb era is a winnable game if we bring out the FSU gameplan and force Greyson Lambert to beat us in the air.

VT will be tough. Tougher than people are giving them credit for. Of our remaining games, I think that is the one we are most likely to lose.

UVA will beat us if we take our win this week and don't focus.
 
ScionOfSouthland said:
Miami is a total unknown right now with Golden out. They may pull a USC and get better, they may tank.

UGA in the post-Chubb era is a winnable game if we bring out the FSU gameplan and force Greyson Lambert to beat us in the air.

VT will be tough. Tougher than people are giving them credit for. Of our remaining games, I think that is the one we are most likely to lose.

UVA will beat us if we take our win this week and don't focus.
Click to expand...

Meh. VT on a Thursday night? Easy win.

Unless we grab a facemask on 3rd and long late in the 4th. Or punch the QB in the head while sacking him on 3rd and 19. Or overthrow a wide open A-back on a game winning pass. Or inexplicably allow a long pass and run to set up a game winning FG in the waning seconds. Or our QB breaks his arm. Or we allow a KO Ret TD at the very end of the game. Or our QB gets meningitis but tries to play anyway. Or their DB drops the ball before going into the endzone on a game winning pick 6 but the refs say öööö it and give them the TD anyway. Or their QB forgets his jersey and then butt F's us in one of our practice jerseys.

Unless something like that happens, I think we cruise.
 
johncu said:
Meh. VT on a Thursday night? Easy win.

Unless we grab a facemask on 3rd and long late in the 4th. Or punch the QB in the head while sacking him on 3rd and 19. Or overthrow a wide open A-back on a game winning pass. Or inexplicably allow a long pass and run to set up a game winning FG in the waning seconds. Or our QB breaks his arm. Or we allow a KO Ret TD at the very end of the game. Or our QB gets meningitis but tries to play anyway. Or their DB drops the ball before going into the endzone on a game winning pick 6 but the refs say öööö it and give them the TD anyway. Or their QB forgets his jersey and then butt F's us in one of our practice jerseys.

Unless something like that happens, I think we cruise.
Click to expand...


Past performance and future results and all that, I get it. We still haven't beaten them on a Thursday as far as I know, and Foster always holds us well below our season average on offense. Our defense is going to have to play well for us to stay in it.
 
ScionOfSouthland said:
Past performance and future results and all that, I get it. We still haven't beaten them on a Thursday as far as I know, and Foster always holds us well below our season average on offense. Our defense is going to have to play well for us to stay in it.
Click to expand...

In all seriousness, I feel a lot better after seeing our defense against FSU. I don't think we're gonna put up more than 30 on VT, because we never do, so it's nice to know that it's at least within the realm of possibility that we stop somebody's offense.
 
ScionOfSouthland said:
Past performance and future results and all that, I get it. We still haven't beaten them on a Thursday as far as I know, and Foster always holds us well below our season average on offense. Our defense is going to have to play well for us to stay in it.
Click to expand...

how quickly you forget the whiteout when they came in as #4 in the country
 
We're going to score negative points against VPI. My only hope is that Foster has coached them so well that when they make the right play against whatever play we call, half our offense runs the wrong play and it works out.

On the plus side, VPI's offense is about as putrid as ours, but their only excuse is that they've been rolling around in the Blacksburg countryside and that's why they smell like cowshit. We're a walking triage unit.
 
Vegas Insider hasn't updated for some reason. Other sites have GT at only -3.5, which is fair. We've had a tough time on the road all year. It's like the mistakes of young players get magnified as the whole crowd cheers your mistakes.
 
So I should put my mortgage on GT while I'm here in Vegas? I think that's what the predictor is saying
 
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