Someone else's "butthurt futures" market system:

The universal equation of the human condition:

Expectations minus reality equals disappointment
 
beej67 said:
https://www.goodbullhunting.com/2018/9/4/17815210/introducing-the-fan-misery-index
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Valid points. But it's still hard to quantify misery. I talked to TIA last week about getting fb forum data to word mine for butthurt key words. I think that's a better way than making assumptions and assigning butthurt coefficients to every situation.

Think about it like this. If Tech beats usf this weekend then hype will go up and butthurt will be lessened. But if we lose 3 starters in the process then it negates the hype and increases butthurt for future expectancy of losses. If Tech loses to Clemson as a 3-0 team then how do you measure the butthurt? Obviously expectations are lower because of the strength of the opponent so it may not cause the same amount of butthurt as losing to let's say Duke as a 3-0 team. It's all about expectations going into the game.

Also if you're on a losing streak your butthurt may level off after the 3rd loss. At that point the fan is not even paying attention so you cant say butthurt is increasing. It's important to figure out what these levels are and it's probably different for everyone.
 
I have a working hypothesis that you can actually track fanbase misery by changes in social media post velocity, with the simple relationship being increasing velocity = misery. The rate of those increases = the intensity of the underlying misery.

I am not sure yet whether I can say this for sure, but I think a fanbase will, due to interactions with itself and with rival fanbases, only ever get more or less miserable. There is no misery equilibrium.
 
ThisIsAtlanta said:
I have a working hypothesis that you can actually track fanbase misery by changes in social media post velocity, with the simple relationship being increasing velocity = misery. The rate of those increases = the intensity of the underlying misery.

I am not sure yet whether I can say this for sure, but I think a fanbase will, due to interactions with itself and with rival fanbases, only ever get more or less miserable. There is no misery equilibrium.
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Easy there Internet Research Agency...

wait...

Maybe we could mine butthurt and use it for our own devious purposes... Social engineering rival fanbases.
 
Akinji07 said:
Valid points. But it's still hard to quantify misery. I talked to TIA last week about getting fb forum data to word mine for butthurt key words. I think that's a better way than making assumptions and assigning butthurt coefficients to every situation.

Think about it like this. If Tech beats usf this weekend then hype will go up and butthurt will be lessened. But if we lose 3 starters in the process then it negates the hype and increases butthurt for future expectancy of losses. If Tech loses to Clemson as a 3-0 team then how do you measure the butthurt? Obviously expectations are lower because of the strength of the opponent so it may not cause the same amount of butthurt as losing to let's say Duke as a 3-0 team. It's all about expectations going into the game.

Also if you're on a losing streak your butthurt may level off after the 3rd loss. At that point the fan is not even paying attention so you cant say butthurt is increasing. It's important to figure out what these levels are and it's probably different for everyone.
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You're like a butthurt quant.
 
I would've easily won the Butthurt Stock Market game here last year, given that I was split between GT BH and mutthurt coin, which saw the greatest delta in the history of all deltas that last play of the championship game.

never before has so much mutthurt been felt by so many due to the actions of so few, as Churchill would surely have said.
 
RamblinWreck92 said:
I would've easily won the Butthurt Stock Market game here last year, given that I was split between GT BH and mutthurt coin, which saw the greatest delta in the history of all deltas that last play of the championship game.

never before has so much mutthurt been felt by so many due to the actions of so few, as Churchill would surely have said.
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I imagine your GT BH value exploded by the affects of the mutthurt coin failure as well.

Also known as the schadenfreude-neener-neener affect.
 
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