MsTechAnalysis
Jolly Good Fellow
- Joined
- Aug 11, 2002
- Messages
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and Tech ranks #3! Interesting how they come up with all of this and how things play out when the games are played. Also interesting, everyone talks about the SEC - look who plays the toughest schedule - ACC:
2003 Strength of Schedule from 1 to 117
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When looking at which team has the toughest schedule going into a season, it's worthless to take into account what happened the year before. In college football, every team changes dramatically from season to season. To determine the strength of schedule, we went by our 2003 CFN Rankings and how good we think the teams are going into the 2003 campaign.
Ohio State is ranked No. 1, so the Buckeyes get assigned one point to the teams playing them. Miami is second, so opponents get two points for playing them, and so on down to 117 points assigned for playing Buffalo. D-I games played on the road are counted in half. If a team plays Georgia Tech, ranked 46th in the country going into the season, at Georgia Tech, 23 points are assigned. All games against non-D-I teams get assigned 118 points. Therefore, the lower the score, the tougher the schedule. Hopefully this all makes sense. Obviously there's room for debate since they're dependant on our rankings, but a tough schedule is a tough schedule. Simply put, if you don't play cupcakes at home and have road games against highly ranked teams, you have a high strength of schedule rating. - Schedule Strength By Conference
2003 Schedules ACC | Big East | Big Ten | Big XII | CUSA | Ind | MAC | MWest | Pac 10 | SEC | Sun Belt | WAC
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Florida State
Toughest Schedule
1. SCORE 25.67
8/30 at No Carolina
9/6 Maryland
9/13 Georgia Tech
9/20 Colorado
9/27 at Duke
10/11 Miami
10/18 at Virginia
10/25 Wake Forest
11/1 at Notre Dame
11/8 at Clemson
11/15 NC State
11/29 at Florida
California
2. SCORE 26.27
823 at Kansas St
8/30 So Miss
9/6 Colorado St
9/13 at Utah
9/20 at Illinois
9/27 USC
10/4 Oregon St
10/18 at UCLA
10/25 Arizona
11/1 at Arizona St
11/8 at Oregon
11/15 Washington
11/22 at Stanford
Georgia Tech
3. SCORE 26.58
8/28 at BYU
9/6 Auburn
9/13 at Florida St
9/20 Clemson
9/27 at Vanderbilt
10/4 NC State
10/11 at Wake Forest
10/23 Maryland
11/8 at Duke
11/15 North Carolina
11/22 at Virginia
11/29 Georgia
Arizona
4. SCORE 29.13
8/30 UTEP
9/6 LSU
9/13 Oregon
9/20 at Purdue
9/27 TCU
10/4 at Wash St
10/11 UCLA
10/25 at California
11/1 at Oregon St
11/8 Washington
11/15 USC
11/20 at Arizona St
North Carolina
5. SCORE 29.54
8/30 Florida State
9/6 Syracuse
9/20 at Wisconsin
9/27 at NC State
10/4 Virginia
10/11 at E Carolina
10/18 Arizona St
10/25 at Clemson
11/1 at Maryland
11/8 Wake Forest
11/15 at Ga Tech
11/22 Duke
Colorado
6. SCORE 30.00
8/30 Colorado State
9/6 UCLA
9/13 Washington St
9/20 at Florida State
10/4 at Baylor
10/11 Kansas
10/18 at Kansas St
10/25 Oklahoma
11/1 at Texas Tech
11/8 Missouri
11/15 at Iowa St
11/29 Nebraska
Alabama
7. SCORE 30.67
8/30 South Florida
9/6 Oklahoma
9/13 Kentucky
9/20 No Illinois
9/27 Arkansas
10/4 at Georgia
10/11 Southern Miss
10/18 at Ole Miss
10/25 Tennessee
11/8 at Miss St
11/15 LSU
11/22 at Auburn
11/29 at Hawaii
Stanford
8. SCORE 30.73
9/13 San Jose St
9/20 at BYU
9/27 at Washington
10/11 at USC
10/18 Washington St
10/25 at Oregon
11/1 UCLA
11/8 Arizona St
11/15 at Oregon St
11/22 California
11/29 Notre Dame
USC
9. SCORE 30.83
8/30 at Auburn
9/6 BYU
9/13 Hawaii
9/27 at California
10/4 at Arizona St
10/11 Stanford
10/18 at Notre Dame
10/25 at Washington
11/1 Washington St
11/15 at Arizona
11/22 UCLA
12/6 Oregon St
Conference Schedule Strength
Which leagues play the toughest schedules?
1. ACC 35.70
2. Pac 10 35.76
3. SEC 37.79
4. Big Ten 38.79
5. Big East 39.85
6. Big XII 42.38
7. Ind 54.81
8. M West 55.10
9. C USA 56.14
10. WAC 57.70
11. MAC 61.55
12. Sun Belt 65.81
Schedule Ranking CFN
Ranking Team Schedule Score
10 19 Notre Dame 33.33
11 60 Mississippi State 33.46
12 74 Northwestern 33.67
13 48 Texas Tech 33.92
14 31 Iowa 34.29
T15 11 Georgia 34.71
T15 58 West Virginia 34.71
17 20 UCLA 34.79
18 23 Purdue 34.83
19 32 Washington State 35.08
20 4 Oklahoma 35.25
21 45 Illinois 35.33
22 89 Indiana 35.50
23 53 Wake Forest 35.58
24 35 Oregon 35.88
25 40 Boston College 36.08
26 3 Texas 36.38
27 21 Florida 36.96
28 1 Ohio State 37.08
29 47 Iowa State 37.21
30 12 Tennessee 37.67
31 92 Vanderbilt 38.08
32 5 Auburn 38.13
T33 17 Virginia 38.25
T33 88 Temple 38.25
35 13 Wisconsin 38.63
T36 41 South Carolina 39.21
T36 44 Penn State 39.21
38 27 Texas A&M 39.42
39 28 Arkansas 39.46
40 57 Syracuse 40.71
41 34 Mississippi 40.79
T42 15 North Carolina St 40.88
T42 16 Michigan 40.88
44 2 Miami FL 41.04
45 14 LSU 41.08
46 8 Pittsburgh 41.25
47 78 Duke 41.63
48 37 Clemson 41.83
49 30 Nebraska 42.04
50 6 Virginia Tech 42.83
51 33 Washington 42.96
52 67 BYU 43.13
53 49 Michigan State 43.25
54 52 Kentucky 43.29
55 101 Rutgers 43.92
56 29 Arizona State 44.71
57 9 Maryland 44.54
58 24 Missouri 45.42
59 104 Baylor 45.83
60 18 Oregon State 47.21
61 94 Kansas 47.92
62 90 Louisiana Tech 48.04
63 71 East Carolina 49.50
64 100 Houston 50.17
65 36 Oklahoma State 50.50
66 69 UNLV 50.54
67 43 Southern Miss 50.63
68 42 Fresno State 51.50
69 80 UAB 51.67
70 99 SMU 53.75
71 113 Troy State 54.04
72 26 Minnesota 54.08
73 70 Utah 54.27
74 68 Miami University 54.38
75 108 Tulsa 54.43
76 86 Wyoming 54.68
77 66 Tulane 54.71
78 103 Ball State 55.00
79 85 San Diego State 56.71
T80 61 Cincinnati 56.75
T80 87 Nevada 56.75
82 81 South Florida 57.09
83 98 Ohio 57.13
84 39 Colorado State 57.83
85 73 Memphis 59.08
86 96 Western Michigan 59.38
87 56 Hawaii 60.00
88 110 Kent State 60.50
89 83 San Jose State 60.55
90 38 TCU 60.58
91 55 Louisville 60.67
92 77 Marshall 61.00
93 82 Toledo 61.17
94 93 Rice 61.42
95 63 New Mexico 61.54
96 84 Connecticut 61.58
97 117 Buffalo 61.67
98 97 New Mexico State 61.88
99 116 Utah State 62.08
100 72 Air Force 62.13
101 50 UCF 62.63
102 111 Eastern Michigan 63.79
103 62 Boise State 64.46
104 109 Louisiana Monroe 64.46
105 51 Northern Illinois 64.50
106 10 Kansas State 64.62
107 106 Central Michigan 65.25
T108 54 Bowling Green 65.50
T108 115 Louisiana Lafayette 65.50
110 107 Army 65.75
111 114 UTEP 66.12
112 79 North Texas 67.38
113 95 MTSU 67.58
114 102 Arkansas State 68.25
115 112 Idaho 69.33
116 91 Akron 69.79
117 105 Navy 71.29
2003 Strength of Schedule from 1 to 117
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When looking at which team has the toughest schedule going into a season, it's worthless to take into account what happened the year before. In college football, every team changes dramatically from season to season. To determine the strength of schedule, we went by our 2003 CFN Rankings and how good we think the teams are going into the 2003 campaign.
Ohio State is ranked No. 1, so the Buckeyes get assigned one point to the teams playing them. Miami is second, so opponents get two points for playing them, and so on down to 117 points assigned for playing Buffalo. D-I games played on the road are counted in half. If a team plays Georgia Tech, ranked 46th in the country going into the season, at Georgia Tech, 23 points are assigned. All games against non-D-I teams get assigned 118 points. Therefore, the lower the score, the tougher the schedule. Hopefully this all makes sense. Obviously there's room for debate since they're dependant on our rankings, but a tough schedule is a tough schedule. Simply put, if you don't play cupcakes at home and have road games against highly ranked teams, you have a high strength of schedule rating. - Schedule Strength By Conference
2003 Schedules ACC | Big East | Big Ten | Big XII | CUSA | Ind | MAC | MWest | Pac 10 | SEC | Sun Belt | WAC
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Florida State
Toughest Schedule
1. SCORE 25.67
8/30 at No Carolina
9/6 Maryland
9/13 Georgia Tech
9/20 Colorado
9/27 at Duke
10/11 Miami
10/18 at Virginia
10/25 Wake Forest
11/1 at Notre Dame
11/8 at Clemson
11/15 NC State
11/29 at Florida
California
2. SCORE 26.27
823 at Kansas St
8/30 So Miss
9/6 Colorado St
9/13 at Utah
9/20 at Illinois
9/27 USC
10/4 Oregon St
10/18 at UCLA
10/25 Arizona
11/1 at Arizona St
11/8 at Oregon
11/15 Washington
11/22 at Stanford
Georgia Tech
3. SCORE 26.58
8/28 at BYU
9/6 Auburn
9/13 at Florida St
9/20 Clemson
9/27 at Vanderbilt
10/4 NC State
10/11 at Wake Forest
10/23 Maryland
11/8 at Duke
11/15 North Carolina
11/22 at Virginia
11/29 Georgia
Arizona
4. SCORE 29.13
8/30 UTEP
9/6 LSU
9/13 Oregon
9/20 at Purdue
9/27 TCU
10/4 at Wash St
10/11 UCLA
10/25 at California
11/1 at Oregon St
11/8 Washington
11/15 USC
11/20 at Arizona St
North Carolina
5. SCORE 29.54
8/30 Florida State
9/6 Syracuse
9/20 at Wisconsin
9/27 at NC State
10/4 Virginia
10/11 at E Carolina
10/18 Arizona St
10/25 at Clemson
11/1 at Maryland
11/8 Wake Forest
11/15 at Ga Tech
11/22 Duke
Colorado
6. SCORE 30.00
8/30 Colorado State
9/6 UCLA
9/13 Washington St
9/20 at Florida State
10/4 at Baylor
10/11 Kansas
10/18 at Kansas St
10/25 Oklahoma
11/1 at Texas Tech
11/8 Missouri
11/15 at Iowa St
11/29 Nebraska
Alabama
7. SCORE 30.67
8/30 South Florida
9/6 Oklahoma
9/13 Kentucky
9/20 No Illinois
9/27 Arkansas
10/4 at Georgia
10/11 Southern Miss
10/18 at Ole Miss
10/25 Tennessee
11/8 at Miss St
11/15 LSU
11/22 at Auburn
11/29 at Hawaii
Stanford
8. SCORE 30.73
9/13 San Jose St
9/20 at BYU
9/27 at Washington
10/11 at USC
10/18 Washington St
10/25 at Oregon
11/1 UCLA
11/8 Arizona St
11/15 at Oregon St
11/22 California
11/29 Notre Dame
USC
9. SCORE 30.83
8/30 at Auburn
9/6 BYU
9/13 Hawaii
9/27 at California
10/4 at Arizona St
10/11 Stanford
10/18 at Notre Dame
10/25 at Washington
11/1 Washington St
11/15 at Arizona
11/22 UCLA
12/6 Oregon St
Conference Schedule Strength
Which leagues play the toughest schedules?
1. ACC 35.70
2. Pac 10 35.76
3. SEC 37.79
4. Big Ten 38.79
5. Big East 39.85
6. Big XII 42.38
7. Ind 54.81
8. M West 55.10
9. C USA 56.14
10. WAC 57.70
11. MAC 61.55
12. Sun Belt 65.81
Schedule Ranking CFN
Ranking Team Schedule Score
10 19 Notre Dame 33.33
11 60 Mississippi State 33.46
12 74 Northwestern 33.67
13 48 Texas Tech 33.92
14 31 Iowa 34.29
T15 11 Georgia 34.71
T15 58 West Virginia 34.71
17 20 UCLA 34.79
18 23 Purdue 34.83
19 32 Washington State 35.08
20 4 Oklahoma 35.25
21 45 Illinois 35.33
22 89 Indiana 35.50
23 53 Wake Forest 35.58
24 35 Oregon 35.88
25 40 Boston College 36.08
26 3 Texas 36.38
27 21 Florida 36.96
28 1 Ohio State 37.08
29 47 Iowa State 37.21
30 12 Tennessee 37.67
31 92 Vanderbilt 38.08
32 5 Auburn 38.13
T33 17 Virginia 38.25
T33 88 Temple 38.25
35 13 Wisconsin 38.63
T36 41 South Carolina 39.21
T36 44 Penn State 39.21
38 27 Texas A&M 39.42
39 28 Arkansas 39.46
40 57 Syracuse 40.71
41 34 Mississippi 40.79
T42 15 North Carolina St 40.88
T42 16 Michigan 40.88
44 2 Miami FL 41.04
45 14 LSU 41.08
46 8 Pittsburgh 41.25
47 78 Duke 41.63
48 37 Clemson 41.83
49 30 Nebraska 42.04
50 6 Virginia Tech 42.83
51 33 Washington 42.96
52 67 BYU 43.13
53 49 Michigan State 43.25
54 52 Kentucky 43.29
55 101 Rutgers 43.92
56 29 Arizona State 44.71
57 9 Maryland 44.54
58 24 Missouri 45.42
59 104 Baylor 45.83
60 18 Oregon State 47.21
61 94 Kansas 47.92
62 90 Louisiana Tech 48.04
63 71 East Carolina 49.50
64 100 Houston 50.17
65 36 Oklahoma State 50.50
66 69 UNLV 50.54
67 43 Southern Miss 50.63
68 42 Fresno State 51.50
69 80 UAB 51.67
70 99 SMU 53.75
71 113 Troy State 54.04
72 26 Minnesota 54.08
73 70 Utah 54.27
74 68 Miami University 54.38
75 108 Tulsa 54.43
76 86 Wyoming 54.68
77 66 Tulane 54.71
78 103 Ball State 55.00
79 85 San Diego State 56.71
T80 61 Cincinnati 56.75
T80 87 Nevada 56.75
82 81 South Florida 57.09
83 98 Ohio 57.13
84 39 Colorado State 57.83
85 73 Memphis 59.08
86 96 Western Michigan 59.38
87 56 Hawaii 60.00
88 110 Kent State 60.50
89 83 San Jose State 60.55
90 38 TCU 60.58
91 55 Louisville 60.67
92 77 Marshall 61.00
93 82 Toledo 61.17
94 93 Rice 61.42
95 63 New Mexico 61.54
96 84 Connecticut 61.58
97 117 Buffalo 61.67
98 97 New Mexico State 61.88
99 116 Utah State 62.08
100 72 Air Force 62.13
101 50 UCF 62.63
102 111 Eastern Michigan 63.79
103 62 Boise State 64.46
104 109 Louisiana Monroe 64.46
105 51 Northern Illinois 64.50
106 10 Kansas State 64.62
107 106 Central Michigan 65.25
T108 54 Bowling Green 65.50
T108 115 Louisiana Lafayette 65.50
110 107 Army 65.75
111 114 UTEP 66.12
112 79 North Texas 67.38
113 95 MTSU 67.58
114 102 Arkansas State 68.25
115 112 Idaho 69.33
116 91 Akron 69.79
117 105 Navy 71.29
