Well I've looked over then numbers and they do slightly favor UGA. However, there were some interesting numbers that popped out at me and pointed to a much more even matched game then our neighbors to the east may think.
On offense, both teams actually average the same amount of yards (384-GT to 380-UGA) with UGA getting more yards from the pass and Tech getting more from the running game. What is the biggest difference? The same thing we've struggled with most of the year: scoring. UGA owns a huge advantage over us on this one at 31.2 to 22.9. However, when you look at the last three games you begin to see that there numbers haven't been as strong. Their points have dropped to 22.7 compared to Tech's 18. Also, their yardage has dropped to 343 with the drop showing up in the passing game. Tech also experienced a slight drop to 360 with the drop showing up in the running game. Overall, Tech has remained fairly conistent in the offensive yardage but scoring continues to plaque them. UGA has seen their offense retreat over the past three games and their scoring has fallen significantly. This sort of shows how important the injuries to Gary, Gibson & Edwards has been on the offense and I don't think you'll see a huge reversal of this trend this weekend.
On defense, both teams are pretty even again with UGA giving up 323 yd/gm and the majority of those yards from the pass. Tech is giving up 336 yd/gm and their majority is also in the passing game. Tech owns a minor scoring advantage with 16.9 to 17.2. However, the past three games again show that Tech has gained more ground on UGA. UGA is now giving up 332 yd/gm & 19.3 points. The biggest change has been the points since the yardage only moved up slightly and reflects that their rushing D has gotten better while their pass D has gotten slightly worse. Tech has really improved (as many have said) and is now only giving up 299 yd/gm & only 13.3 points. Both the pass D has improved greatly and the rush D has slightly improved. Again, the trend points to the fact that UGA has slipped a little (granted not as much as the O) and Tech has continued to improve.
So what does this all mean? Who knows (it's a rivalry game) but allow me to amuse myself by giving you my keys to the game.
- Score, score, & score. We have got to put TDs on the board and not FGs. Gailey cannot afford to be too conservative in this game. UGA is a great 2nd half team so it will be important to score early and make adjustments at half to insure we keep moving the ball (something this staff hasn't shown a great skill at yet).
- Bend don't break. Our D is one of the best around right now and I'm not sure most UGA fans realize that. UGA has a good offense but has shown signs of slowing when facing good competition. Plus, the WR injuries have definately slowed down their passing attack. They will move the ball but we've got to make sure that when they have success that we don't allow TDs and hold them to FGs.
- Fundamentals. We've got to make the initial tackles and prevent big plays. UGA will likely attempt to get the ball in one of the big play guys and let them make a play against us. We've got to keep our assignments and not let receivers get lost behind us. If UGA wins this game it will be because of big plays not because they dominate us.
- Eliminate mistakes. We cannot afford turnovers or costly special teams play. We can take our shots deep but we need to make sure we call plays that are within AJs ability. Florida showed that the short pass can be effective against UGA and that is what we should be practicing against them. If the pass isn't there then AJ needs to throw it away because he doesn't have the arm to force the ball into coverage.
- Control the clock. Our defense has done well when we don't keep them on the field for long periods. It isn't a fluke that our defense has improved over the past few games. Our offense has held the ball longer during those games as well. This one will be huge (along with no mistakes).
Overall, I still feel confident that Tech can, and will, win this game. The teams are much more evenly matched than most people think. Why do most people think we will lose? AJ Suggs. They don't think he can make the plays necessary to give us the win and that he will likely make the mistakes that will cause us to lose. So here is your chance AJ. Prove the world wrong on Saturday. You and the team have got my support.
Go Jackets!!!