The computers say we lose...

[G776T]

For what its worth

http://accuscore.com/option,com_acc_ncaaf_game_preview/tab,stats/Itemid,212/game_id,705/

 

[gthog61]

Gigo

 

[cajunjacket]

Humans (and vegas) say we win

man >>> computer

 

[cyptomcat]

how accurate has this been over the year? what is it's record?

 

[SeePops]

how accurate has this been over the year? what is it's record?

NCAA FOOTBALL
Since launching its college football predictions in 2006, AccuScore has been over 55 percent accurate on Division 1-A point spreads (over 1400 games) and over 54 percent on all over/under predictions against the closing betting lines. As is the case in the NFL, AccuScore is 61% (76-49-12) in close games where the spread is 4 points or less. Conference play has showed many positive trends with the AccuScore simulations, with over/under projections in the ACC hitting at 77% clip, followed by the SEC and Big Ten 71% and 68% respective success rate

Pulled from their site. FWIW the computer has us losing, by a slim margin no less, because it is sold on us fumbling (we averaged 2.4 lost fumbles per simulated game). If we secure the ball like we have lately, even the computer would take our side.

 

[BeeStorm]

My Commodore 64 says we win by 17 points.

 

[SeePops]

My Commodore 64 says we win by 17 points.

You still have the C64? that's so two years ago. I have the SX-64. Fully portable, baby.

 

[mm42]

I don't buy any model that is based on statistical trends being able to predict how a team will do at defending our option offense.

If you look at the correlation of opponents' defensive stats to our performance against them, the results are amazingly weak.

(I left out the I-AA teams.)