Vols do maths

At first I was laughing, but now I've had to literally close the webpage to prevent myself from registering and roasting that dude. I'm significantly more annoyed at the mathematical incompetence than I am about FPI giving UT an absurd 68.5% chance to beat us.
 
johncu said:
I'm significantly more annoyed at the mathematical incompetence than I am about FPI giving UT an absurd 68.5% chance to beat us.
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uGA is #13 and has a 68% chance to beat us. How do they calculate FPI before the first game of the season?
 
What's their problem? I am now dumber for reading that board. I couldn't find a single objective poster. I hope they continue to dismiss us.
 
gtphd said:
We would have had the maths correct on the first post and just debated the assumptions (if the events are independent and the validity of FPI)
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Two men say they're Jesus, one of them must be wrong.
 
JJacket said:
Two men say they're Jesus, one of them must be wrong.
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They are both wrong.

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We all know that we do our best work against SEC East teams when we're at a 10% or less chance to win. Here are some other probabilities from the FPI's model for the GT/UT game:

Butch Jones face redder than hex code #FF7F7F at least one point during game: 89.5%
Numerous UT big cries over 'chop' blocks: 98.6%
UT fans cheering and thinking they've tackled the ball carrier when the guy actually with the ball is streaking downfield: 79.3%
Skoal shortage inside Mercedes-Benz stadium: 98.9%
UT fans fighting each other, especially late in 4th quarter: 65.5%
Paul Johnson pointing out 4 wins in a row over SEC east team in post-game interview: 82.2%
At least one UT player robbing an Atlanta convenience store: 86.5%
 
I'm also going to take a shot at some #volmath and calculate the chance of a UT player robbing a convenience store AND Butch Jone's face getting redder than hex code #FF7F7F. We will proceed by dimensional analysis.

First, we calculate the average of the two probabilities:

(89.5% + 86.5%) / 2 events = 88% / event

But we want just the percentage, so we must multiply times the number of events to get the proper units:

88%/event * 2 events = 176%

So, there is a 176% chance of a Vol player robbing a convenience store and Butch Jones's face turning red. Brb, calling my bookie.
 
LagrangeJacket said:
I'm also going to take a shot at some #volmath and calculate the chance of a UT player robbing a convenience store AND Butch Jone's face getting redder than hex code #FF7F7F. We will proceed by dimensional analysis.

First, we calculate the average of the two probabilities:

(89.5% + 86.5%) / 2 events = 88% / event

But we want just the percentage, so we must multiply times the number of events to get the proper units:

88%/event * 2 events = 176%

So, there is a 176% chance of a Vol player robbing a convenience store and Butch Jones's face turning red. Brb, calling my bookie.
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v8ccqht.jpg
 
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