We are who they thought we were

gtleviathan

gtleviathan

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Interesting. And surprised to see UGA out of the Top 5.

b300d112a9935e420c7f44ebe021d7cb--uga-bulldog-baby-faces.jpg
 
coit said:
Interesting. And surprised to see UGA out of the Top 5.

b300d112a9935e420c7f44ebe021d7cb--uga-bulldog-baby-faces.jpg
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Yes, that's surprising to me, as well. They were actually slightly better than us by this metric.

Of course, the polls can be wildly off each year but if they're equally likely to be wildly off high and low, you would end up in the middle like us. The under-ranking of us before 2014 balances out the over-ranking of us before 2015.
 
They need to use a range while figuring worse, Just looking at FSU's, I'm not sure you can say a team was necessarily overhyped if they start 2 finish 3, start 7 finish 10, 2 down to 5, etc.
 
coit said:
This used data from only those seasons in which we appeared in the preseason Top 25.
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That can't be technically correct either, because that would mean our average appearance in the top 25 was not in the top 25. I get that you mean to say including votes received for teams outside the top 25, for the AP poll.

Still not a very interesting way to look at it, IMO. Like "hey, when these guys are rated, we get it right". 20% of the time, it works every time, right?
 
G776T said:
They need to use a range while figuring worse, Just looking at FSU's, I'm not sure you can say a team was necessarily overhyped if they start 2 finish 3, start 7 finish 10, 2 down to 5, etc.
Click to expand...
Yeah, that'd be better. But then you'd run into a problem where teams ranked near the top or near the bottom would have constrained ranges. There's probably a better way to do this using "weighted" ranges or something like that.
 
ThisIsAtlanta said:
That can't be technically correct either, because that would mean our average appearance in the top 25 was not in the top 25. I get that you mean to say including votes received for teams outside the top 25, for the AP poll.

Still not a very interesting way to look at it, IMO. Like "hey, when these guys are rated, we get it right". 20% of the time, it works every time, right?
Click to expand...

Exactly. This doesn't take into account years like 2008 or 2014 when we had great years with little expected of us preseason, but it does factor in the abortion of 2015.
 
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