2017 Preseason Probability Poll Results

coit said:
OP updated for Game 6 results.

Our Game 6 win has increased the expected win total by +0.224. The total expected win value is now 7.01.

And now for your voting leaders. The following folks have predicted every game correctly so far, where a correct vote for a win is greater than 0.5 and a correct vote for a loss is 0.5 or less.

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket
@wgardiner3
@eg1
@gtfan1147
Click to expand...
I would love nothing more than to fall off this list this week with a win!
 
OP updated for Game 7 results.

Our Game 7 loss has decreased the expected win total by -0.332. The total expected win value is now 6.67.

And now for your voting leaders. The following folks have predicted every game correctly so far, where a correct vote for a win is greater than 0.5 and a correct vote for a loss is 0.5 or less.

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket
@wgardiner3
@eg1
@gtfan1147
 
OP updated for Game 8 results.

Our Game 8 loss has decreased the expected win total by -0.742. The total expected win value is now 5.93, the first time all season it has dipped below 6.0.

And now for your voting leaders. This devastating loss had killed everyone's perfect season, although it has added @JelloJacket to the leaders group as he is the lone voter predicting a loss other than @whenyousaybud who predicted every game to be a loss.

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket
@wgardiner3
@eg1
@gtfan1147
@JelloJacket
 
coit said:
OP updated for Game 8 results.

Our Game 8 loss has decreased the expected win total by -0.742. The total expected win value is now 5.93, the first time all season it has dipped below 6.0.

And now for your voting leaders. This devastating loss had killed everyone's perfect season, although it has added @JelloJacket to the leaders group as he is the lone voter predicting a loss other than @whenyousaybud who predicted every game to be a loss.

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket
@wgardiner3
@eg1
@gtfan1147
@JelloJacket
Click to expand...
Every loss has a silver lining.
 
OP updated for Game 9 results.

Our Game 9 win has increased the expected win total by +0.404. The total expected win value is now 6.34.

And now for your voting leaders. This one separated the men from the boys, as it were.

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket
@JelloJacket

In the next two games, a couple of other voters have a chance to join the leaders, and @gtfan1147 can take the season championship if we somehow manage to lose our last two games.
 
öööö yo poll

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OP updated for Game 10 results.

Our Game 10 loss has decreased the expected win total by -0.720. The total expected win value is now 5.62. Of note, we have now lost 2 of our 4 highest probability games.

And now for your voting leaders. @gtfan1147 has joined the leader group with 8 correct predictions out of 10.

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket
@gtfan1147
@JelloJacket

So, after our final game next week, we will have a 2-way tie depending on the outcome.

GT victory:

@gtgtgt1
@MtownJacket

GT loss:

@gtfan1147
@JelloJacket
 
OP updated for Game 11 results.

Our Game 11 loss has decreased the expected win total by -0.616, bringing the final value to a disappointing 5 wins.

And now for your 2017 Probability Poll Champions:

@gtfan1147
@JelloJacket

Each of these magnificent bastards ended the season with a 9-2 record. Which isn’t that great an accomplishment in a 5-6 season I guess.

@JelloJacket was slightly more pessimistic in his predictions, calling for 5.4 wins, which gives him the closest to the total number of wins as well.

Thanks to all of you that voted each week, and we’ll see you next August for the 2018 installment!
 
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