CFP predictions for this week

And until the Conference Championship games these rankings are essentially meaningless.
 
Reason #47 the CFP poll is worthless at this point : OSU #2, Michigan #3. They still have to play each other. If committee thinks OSU is better, then they should assume Michigan loses to them. Therefore Michigan shouldn't be in the playoff discussion with 2 anticipated losses and no conference championship. If committee is wrong, then move Michigan up after they beat OSU.
 
ee8384 said:
Reason #47 the CFP poll is worthless at this point : OSU #2, Michigan #3. They still have to play each other. If committee thinks OSU is better, then they should assume Michigan loses to them. Therefore Michigan shouldn't be in the playoff discussion with 2 anticipated losses and no conference championship. If committee is wrong, then move Michigan up after they beat OSU.
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Why should a team get penalized for an "anticipated loss"?
 
BuckeyeJacket said:
Why should a team get penalized for an "anticipated loss"?
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What's their penalty? I think the "if the playoff started today, who's in?" approach is nonsense until the season ends. Committee should make best guess (and at this point it's all guessing - RPIs, ABCs, 123s aside) as to who will be the top 4 standing and make those the top 4. OSU/MI being #2/#3 is as dumb as them putting TAMU in when it was clear if Washington won out they would jump over TAMU. OSU & MI both in the playoff would take all kinds of other losses among top teams to become a reality.

Think Bama is the best team in the country right now? Then assume they beat everyone on the way in. OSU #2, then they would be everyone except Bama. MI #3 - can't happen since they would have lost to OSU. It's a different approach to the process. As I stated in my OP, if the committee was wrong about OSU at #2, then when they lose to MI, MI will get rewarded by jumping up.
 
What pisses me off is how they talk about Louisville needing to blow people out and put teams they're supposed to beat away early to make their case better, saying that the Duke and Wake games are really hurting them and that Clemson is clearly superior. Do they forget about the TROY and NC State games Clemson played? Thats the exact same scenario, and while Clemson has the head-to-head, they have the worst loss.
 
GoGATech said:
What pisses me off is how they talk about Louisville needing to blow people out and put teams they're supposed to beat away early to make their case better, saying that the Duke and Wake games are really hurting them and that Clemson is clearly superior. Do they forget about the TROY and NC State games Clemson played? Thats the exact same scenario, and while Clemson has the head-to-head, they have the worst loss.
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Wins over top 25 teams:

Clemson - 4
Louisville - 1

That's why.
 
Valid point but I only see 3 T25 wins for Clemson. Also, that has nothing to do with the point the announcers and CFP committee are making about Louisville "not putting people away." I'm not saying Louisville should be higher than Clemson, but I think they are not getting the credit they deserve. Maybe they haven't "put the teams away" that they should have, but their sole loss is to a top 5 team. Small wins and big wins still go down as W's at the end of the day. Michigan's loss to a #50 (at the time) Iowa and Clemson's loss to a #48 (at the time) Pitt go down as L's and should have more bearing than games Louisville "should have won easier." Leaving Michigan at #3 is what's totally absurd. Michigan and Clemson both lose to a 50ish ranked team in the exact same fashion. How do you leave one be and drop the other 2 spots? Michigan has the same number of T25 wins as Louisville - one.
 
GoGATech said:
Valid point but I only see 3 T25 wins for Clemson. Also, that has nothing to do with the point the announcers and CFP committee are making about Louisville "not putting people away." I'm not saying Louisville should be higher than Clemson, but I think they are not getting the credit they deserve. Maybe they haven't "put the teams away" that they should have, but their sole loss is to a top 5 team. Small wins and big wins still go down as W's at the end of the day. Michigan's loss to a #50 (at the time) Iowa and Clemson's loss to a #48 (at the time) Pitt go down as L's and should have more bearing than games Louisville "should have won easier." Leaving Michigan at #3 is what's totally absurd. Michigan and Clemson both lose to a 50ish ranked team in the exact same fashion. How do you leave one be and drop the other 2 spots? Michigan has the same number of T25 wins as Louisville - one.
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Yeah I fully agree with that. Honestly I don't get too worked up about it at this point because conference championships are going to change everything. If all of the favorites win out, then the playoff will be Bama, OSU/Michigan, Clemson, and Washington. Louisville can sneak in if Washington loses or maaaaybe if Clemson blows it against VT in the ACCCG.
 
johncu said:
Yeah I fully agree with that. Honestly I don't get too worked up about it at this point because conference championships are going to change everything. If all of the favorites win out, then the playoff will be Bama, OSU/Michigan, Clemson, and Washington. Louisville can sneak in if Washington loses or maaaaybe if Clemson blows it against VT in the ACCCG.
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That's why it sucks that there are only 4 spots and winning conference means a lot. If Louisville were in the Coastal with that record and sole loss to Clemson, you better believe that they would both be ranked in the top 4 right now because they "know" one has another loss coming (in ACCCG). Keeping Michigan at 3 while jumping tOSU to 2 is why I get worked up about it at this point, because they are laying the foundation for 2 B1G teams to make it, not 2 ACC teams.
 
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