mm42 said:
Only way Auburn can get to the Sugar Bowl is for Arkansas to finish 0-2 and Auburn 2-0 and then Auburn beats Florida in a rematch. That is possible but in my mind highly unlikely.
Arkansas could lose to both Tennessee and LSU. However, they have both at home and it is unlikely that they drop both. I had Arkansas and Auburn both finishing 7-1 in the West, I made the Auburn decision based upon them winning a tie-breaker, which I could be (and looks like I am) wrong about.
Nonetheless, I do see Auburn running the table and playing in a BCS bowl, but if they cannot win the SEC West tie-breaker with Arkansas then there indeed is no way they would play in the BCS game, as one of my earlier posted predictions had them doing.
The real reason I twisted my predictions up a bit is because I prefer to play someone else besides Auburn in the Orange. Has nothing to do with feeling whether or not GT could win the game (of course I think they could), it's just that the two have faced each other twice recently and I would just rather face Florida.
I suppose there is an outside shot at this occuring if Arkansas wins the SEC and goes to the Sugar, that is, if Florida remains a BCS team with two losses and runner-up status in the SEC, which might not happen because of the high number of one-loss teams.
In conclusion, I think I will re-think my BCS predictions.
