TIAR said:
I do not think you can have 3 teams from the same BCS conf in the BCS (unless no other options avail) - hence Wisconsin will be SOL.
Here's the website with the full selection procedure:
http://www.bcsfootball.org/bcsfb/eligibility
Basically, here's how it works:
1. The first 4 rules are used first to determine the 10 teams. They say that the following teams are absolutely certain of playing in a BCS bowl: the top 2 teams in the BCS standings, the conference champion of the 6 BCS conferences, the possible mid-major qualifier (top 12 or top 16 ranked ahead of a conf. champion) and ND if they're in the top 8.
2. If the first 4 rules don't yield 10 BCS teams, then we go to rule 5. Rule 5 gives an automatic bid to the team ranked number 3 if they are at-large (not a conf. champion) and if there wasn't an at-large team from the same conf. that was Number 1 and Number 2. If we still don't have 10 teams, then we go to rule #6, which is the same as 5 except with the number 4 team. It looks like Auburn or the Michigan/OSU loser will go automatically under these two rules.
3. Now, if we
still don't have ten teams, then we go to the at-large picks. The key here is that the BCS bowls other than the national championship can decide to choose whoever they damn well please provided that the team is in the top 14 of the BCS and has won 9 games this season.
This means that one of the bowls can very well decide to pick a #14 at-large team over a #5 at-large team. There's also no provision that this at-large team cannot be a third conference team.
However, this rule also sets up very well for ND, who will almost certainly be in the top 14 even if they lose to USC. The bowl that picks the at-large team could very well decide to pick LSU, Tenn, Wisc or the Cal/USC loser, but a bowl will never pass up on ND if they have the choice. This is also the reason that ND has lost every bowl game since 1993.
Another manifestation of this at-large rule is that either Auburn or the Michigan/OSU loser will not be in the top 4. If Auburn is ranked #5, they will NOT have an automatic birth. The bowls will first pick ND out of the top 14 and it's not certain that their second at-large pick is Auburn. They could very well pick LSU, Tenn or Wisc. Alkthough I'm sure the SEC will not so gently lobby for them, you never know with these finicky bowl committees.