Football Outsiders FEI Ratings

johncu

johncu

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Just thought this would be an interesting addition to the conversation around here...

Football Outsiders Efficiency Ratings
GT 2015 O - 24th
GT 2015 D - 73rd

Before you say something about Alcorn State skewing the stats,

1) Everyone plays cupcakes
2) This ratings only include FBS games




edit - this doesn't include the UVA game, but the point still stands.
 
Previous year rankings for comparison for those of us too lazy to look it up ourselves?
 
1st in Offensive Efficiency in 2014
51st in Defensive Efficiency in 2014
 
ee8384 said:
1st in Offensive Efficiency in 2014
51st in Defensive Efficiency in 2014
Click to expand...

So the D is not to blame this year statement is a bit of a myth.

I guess you could make the argument that our offensive efficiency being so low is affecting our defensive efficiency.
 
Akinji07 said:
So the D is not to blame this year statement is a bit of a myth.

I guess you could make the argument that our offensive efficiency being so low is affecting our defensive efficiency.
Click to expand...


The rankings have both dropped by about the same amount.
 
big difference is turnovers... makes the D look worse cause theyre not getting any plus they are getting put behind the 8 ball when our O commits them
 
FEI.jpg
 
Quick, someone evaluate the correlation between our total efficiency and number of wins.
 
OK so I'm convinced now that the defense can be blamed as well. We suck all around.
 
I would like to see our defensive efficiency vs. similar opponents. Last year we had a moderate road to the orange bowl with our opponent rankings/skill levels. This year we got some really tough ones in Notre Dame, Clemson, etc. We may even have a better defense this year and a worse performance.
 
Sewak. He knows our offense very well. That's the only reason he's still here. There is no reason at all our OL should be this bad. During those years with bad offensive efficiency (the norm), I remember complaining about the OL a lot. (Aside from 2013 because Vad didn't fit our offense.)
 
Akinji07 said:
fei2.jpg
Click to expand...

So this year is the low win percentage data point? If so, then the regression would say Tech should end up at about 0.500 if the average efficiency remains unchanged.

Three game winning streak inbound.
 
coit said:
That sounds like a job for you mister data scraper.
Click to expand...

I have the data and can do it for any school you want. When you put all of the schools together it's kinda messy and the r2 drops to .65 at best.
 
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