GT + 8 Week 1

BigDanT said:
UNC is -2 against South Carolina. I’m sorry but this is just a load of horse öööö. Last year South Carolina beat Tennessee and Clemson in back to back weeks while UNC lost to Tech and NC State I’m back to back weeks.

Horse Sheet
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Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
 
Rarely are teams playing up to their potential in week 1.

This is why most teams schedule cupcakes.
 
BigDanT said:
UNC is -2 against South Carolina. I’m sorry but this is just a load of horse öööö. Last year South Carolina beat Tennessee and Clemson in back to back weeks while UNC lost to Tech and NC State I’m back to back weeks.

Horse Sheet
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So what would you set the line at?
 
BigDanT said:
UNC is -2 against South Carolina. I’m sorry but this is just a load of horse öööö. Last year South Carolina beat Tennessee and Clemson in back to back weeks while UNC lost to Tech and NC State I’m back to back weeks.

Horse Sheet
Click to expand...
For some reason North Carolina has joined Notre Dame and the Dallas Cowboys as constantly over rated teams.
 
Yearly reminder that the line is to get the money bet even on both sides, not to predict the score

It usually happens that the number to get the bets even is close to what you'd expect the score to be, to make picking a side difficult, but the betting public may not know what they are doing.
 
RoanokeJacket said:
Yearly reminder that the line is to get the money bet even on both sides, not to predict the score

It usually happens that the number to get the bets even is close to what you'd expect the score to be, to make picking a side difficult, but the betting public may not know what they are doing.
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That's not how it works. The sportsbooks are trying to win. The openers are always soft; the line is then adjusted on profiled sharp bettor actions vs. volume of money. Once limits are increased the number becomes sharper and sharper. The exceptions to this are usually just the Super Bowl and World Cup, where the books may sometimes have to balance liabilities.
 
RoanokeJacket said:
Yearly reminder that the line is to get the money bet even on both sides, not to predict the score

It usually happens that the number to get the bets even is close to what you'd expect the score to be, to make picking a side difficult, but the betting public may not know what they are doing.
Click to expand...
Biggest myth in gambling history. They buy each other's action if they get too overloaded on a particular game and are worried about taking too much public action. But the average public bettor bets almost 70% on favorites and almost 70% on overs across the board. At a 20% split on both of those bets vs their 50/50 likelihood, don't have to be a mathematician to see how that works out to their advantage over just dime or nickel lines.
 
00Burdell said:
If only someone had told me this three or four weeks ago.
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People have forgotten 5 years ago when we had real practices. They're expecting us to come out soft, have a game or 2 where we either physically overmatch our opponent like Sc St or we muster up enough pride to play hard and have a chance to win. Key needs to prove it with results on the field before these things change.
 
Liberty said:
People have forgotten 5 years ago when we had real practices. They're expecting us to come out soft, have a game or 2 where we either physically overmatch our opponent like Sc St or we muster up enough pride to play hard and have a chance to win. Key needs to prove it with results on the field before these things change.
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You didn’t notice a change on the field last year when he took over? Even with QBs 2, 3, and 4 taking the bulk of the snaps in all of those games?
 
A different topic but I hope Sims gets lit up at Nebraska. Yes, it chapped my tail when he transferred but it really frosted my butt when he refused to go on the field when the coaches told him to. I know I’m from a different era but could you imagine a player telling Bear Bryant “No” when asked to take the field? Heck … they would have taken the field with a broken leg. Like I said … different era.
 
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