HD's Score Prediction for UNC

Just went over to HER OWN WEBSITE and checked the facts:
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/drivechart?gameId=283130153

Here were our drives:
2 yards - punt
35 yards - downs
22 yards - downs
64 yards - missed FG
47 yards - missed FG
20 yards - punt
50 yards - punt
-5 yards - fumble
17 yards - punt
85 yards - TD
0 yards - interception
47 yards - end of game

By contrast, their scoring drives were:
67 yards - TD
30 yards - TD from fumbled punt
32 yards - TD from fumbled pitch
39 yards - TD from onside kick

We had 4 drives, longer than any of their last 3 TD drives, that ended w/o a score.

Rushing:
GT - 54 rushes/326 yards/6.0 ypc
UNC - 42 rushes/186 yards/4.4 ypc

Passing:
GT - 10/23/1 for 97 yards
UNC - 8/19/0 for 128 yards

Total Offense:
GT - 423 yards
UNC - 314 yards

TOP:
GT - 31:50
UNC - 28:10
 
We win this Saturday. I would say win handily, but I think our defense still gives up some big plays.
 
His post was actually pretty accurate, and was well substantiated... I dont know why so many of you guys let the truth get your panties in a bunch.

I will concede this and I will try to abide by this rule in the future: If there's a GTKyle post in the football forum that bugs me, I should either keep it to myself or deal with it in the Off-Topic forum as a courtesy to people who want to read the football forum without reading my thoughts about Kyle. Fair enough?
 
Contain - to prevent from advancing OR from making a successful attack; to keep within limits

Seems to me that if you prevent someone from scoring, at least in the game of football, then you have indeed CONTAINED their offense. Sure we rolled up plenty of yards but isn't the object to put point on the board, and not just pile up statistics between the goal lines? We were certainly kept, for the most part, within the limits of the field outside of the end zone.

Because per the stats above that tell the story of the game, we stopped ourselves, UNC did not "contain" us.

Yes, they made a few key 3rd and 4th down plays, to stop drives and keep us out of the EZ, but we missed 2 FG's and turned the ball over 2 times deep in our territory, plus the onside kick. In short, it is my view that we beat ourselves that day, they didn't "contain" us. Believe what you wish.
 
If we only have one 3 and out this Saturday, there's no way we lose!!!
 
Because per the stats above that tell the story of the game, we stopped ourselves, UNC did not "contain" us.

Yes, they made a few key 3rd and 4th down plays, to stop drives and keep us out of the EZ, but we missed 2 FG's and turned the ball over 2 times deep in our territory, plus the onside kick. In short, it is my view that we beat ourselves that day, they didn't "contain" us. Believe what you wish.

I agree. The fumbles weren't forced. Most were self inflicted turnovers.
 
I'm not convinced that UNC will be able to move the football. Hopefully I'm right. Hopefully our pass defense looks more like a D-1 secondary and less like a bunch of retards humping doorknobs.

As for Dinich's prediction, I can't fault her, although I think our offensive line does a fine job shutting itself down without a defense's help.

Remember what Paul says - Good teams don't lose two in a row.
 
We were down 7-0 until that fumbled punt in the fourth quarter.
 
Guys, if you take away the first quarter vs. Clempson, we've been outscored 98-26 in our last three games vs. D-1A opponents. At this point why should we be shocked when someone picks a ranked opponent to beat us?
 
Guys, if you take away the first quarter vs. Clempson, we've been outscored 98-26 in our last three games vs. D-1A opponents. At this point why should we be shocked when someone picks a ranked opponent to beat us?

And if you take away Miami's Passing game, add in our Running vs them last year divide that by the square root of 2 then we are beating teams 222-0.:wow:


:rolleyes:
 
Here we go again "can contain Paul Johnson's offense." People act like once you have beaten us, you will beat us forever. I don't get it. So once you lose as an offensive coordinator to a team, that team will beat you forever because they have figured out your offense?
Who did she play for, i ask again.
 
And if you take away Miami's Passing game, add in our Running vs them last year divide that by the square root of 2 then we are beating teams 222-0.:wow:


:rolleyes:

OK, include the first quarter and it's 96-50. Feel better?
 
I should have been more clear about this before: I have no problem with her picking them to beat us.

What baffles me is "UNC proved last year it can contain Paul Johnson’s offense in a 28-7 win, so there’s no reason it shouldn’t do it again." Really? Can't think of any reason that we might have a successful day on offense? Pretty harsh, isn't it?
 
Why would Heather predict a GT victory when there is nothing to show that we are better than we were when we played them last year but there is reason to believe that UNC is better than they were when we played them?

A UNC victory is the logical prediction.

I, personally, think Tech will win but I'm factoring in the CPJ coaching factor- a benefit of the doubt that Tech will not get from the media until he proves them wrong a few more times.

We need to stop being so defensive when the rest of the country isn't as confident in CPJ as we are. That will come eventually but not after 16 games.
 
I think the issue is that she has them beating us by 10 considering we are favored by 2.5.
 
I don't consider UNC allowing GT to scamper for 328 yards with 6 YPC exactly containment. Until we win again, the media will hate on us. It's the nature of the beast.

I think we humble UNC this weekend personally based on that fact Paul Johnson doesn't exactly build teams to lose two in a row. I don't think it happens here.

UNC hasn't played anybody. They played ECU which is their toughest opponent so far IMO, and they aren't even that good this year. The media thinks they are good because of the carry over from last year and because their coach is a Holtz.

GT going back to basics and proving they are very good at the basic offense this weekends and GT rolls. 24-17. That's my prediction.

Oh yeah, Paul Johnson wants us to run he even said he told his team to "bring it on". GT rushes for 400+. Thank you!
 
Here is an article just posted by HD:

Georgia Tech looking to stay in Coastal Division race
September 24, 2009 10:30 AM

Posted by ESPN.com’s Heather Dinich


Georgia Tech has been in this position before under coach Paul Johnson -- a 1-1 September start in conference play. Last year, the Jackets beat Boston College on the road, 19-16, and came home to lose a heartbreaker to Virginia Tech, 20-17.

While last year’s conference race wasn’t determined until the final few weeks of the season, in retrospect, it was that early loss to the Hokies that eventually determined Georgia Tech’s fate. Both programs finished with 5-3 records in the Coastal Division, but Virginia Tech won the head-to-head tiebreaker. As the Yellow Jackets prepare to host an undefeated North Carolina team on Saturday, they do so knowing the Coastal Division race is at stake, having experienced the same scenario a year ago.

“We’re in exactly the same position we were in a year ago,” Johnson said. “Verbatim. … We didn’t lose the division because of anybody else. We had it right in our own hands. Who knows what’s going to happen. There’s eight conference games. You’ve got to play them and see how it unfolds. You’ve just got to play the game at hand. You can’t win the conference in September, I don’t think. Certainly you want to have as few losses as you can, but being 1-1 in the league, I hope we’re not out of it.”

No, they’re not out of it, but the Jackets will come a lot closer to becoming an afterthought in the race if they start off 0-2 against their Coastal Division opponents. While UNC’s offense seemed to have turned the corner in Saturday’s win over ECU, ACC defenses have put in extra time and summer practices into slowing down Georgia Tech’s spread-option offense. UNC leads the ACC in rushing defense, holding opponents to just 52.3 yards per game. Georgia Tech leads the ACC with 243.7 rushing yards per game.

UNC has matured enough under coach Butch Davis to start winning games on the road (the Heels were 0-6 in his first season), but North Carolina hasn’t won in Atlanta since 1997. UNC’s defense proved capable of defending the Jackets last year in a convincing 28-7 win.

Still, the Tar Heels aren’t where Davis would like them to be -- or where he needs them to be.

“We are still a work in progress,” Davis said. “Although we had success against East Carolina, the real test for any particular group of players or a phase of your team is the consistency, the ability to do it week in and week out. Obviously last week was a very positive step forward, but by no stretch of the imagination are we even at or near close to being where we need to for the remainder of the schedule. This is a murderer’s row schedule for the remainder of the season for us, and we do have to get better every week.”

They’re not the only ones. The difference is, this is North Carolina’s first ACC game. The Tar Heels have a little more margin for error right now than Georgia Tech does.

“It’s definitely huge for us, especially after losing last week to Miami, a Coastal Division team,” said A-back Roddy Jones. “We’ve got another one coming in. It’s huge. You just have to realize what this means for our hopes of playing for the ACC championship. We know we put ourselves behind the eight ball by losing to Miami. We’ve got to come out and play well this week.”
 
OK, include the first quarter and it's 96-50. Feel better?

Not really, why cherry pick the last three knowing that it hurts our numbers?

Why not pick the last five?

161-136.

Why any random arbitrary number? Hell I'm sure if I sugar coated my 'time frame' to include the Duke and MSU game we'd have much better numbers. My point is that you can't hand pick time frame's and discard things to try and make your point.

Which I'm not even sure what your point is? That because we looked bad in the bowl game and the Miami game, and let Clemson creep back on us that we suck somehow? Because I'm pretty sure the LSU game was last year. I'm also pretty sure that we beat clemson. So in your 'argument' we looked bad against Miami. Which everyone already knows. Your 'argument' has very little bearing on how we will do against UNC in my opinion.
 
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