Linez

I expected ours to be around there, though I don't actually agree with it.

I was surprised at the South Carolina line, because even though South Carolina is godawful, it's look like Stoudt is going to be starting that game and that Clemp offense is putrid with him in. Clemp winning would be good for ACC and all, but öööö I hate those guys, pretty much cheering for the gamecocks to make it 5 in a row.
 
The line looks this way because Vegas loves Arkansas and UGA waxed them. But the thing about Arkansas is if you have a good offense it can get them out of their element.
 
saxondawg said:
Courtesy goldsheet.com, last seven years of betting lines:

2007 Georgia was a 3-point fav. UGA won by 14.
2008 Georgia was an 8 point fav. TECH won by 3.
2009 Georgia Tech was an 8 point fav. UGA won by 6.
2010 Georgia was a 13-point fav. UGA won by 8.
2011 Georgia was a 5-point fav. UGA won by 14.
2012 Georgia was a 13.5 point fav. UGA won by 32.
2013 Georgia was a 3-point fav. UGA won by 7 (OT)
UGA 5-2 vs. line for last seven years.
Click to expand...

So a 9-2 ranked GT vs a 9-2 ranked UGA gets the most lopsided line of the CPJ era? Seems like easy money.
 
This line looks about right to me. This is not a good matchup for us. We're going to have to play perfect on offense. No turnovers. I don't see how we stop their running game. We're going to have to get a few turnovers and turn them into TD's.
 
UGA walks in heavy favorite.

GT lumbers in with confidence.

What happens next has happened before in history:

bIHgjL0.jpg
 
johncu said:
Counting an OT win as covering the spread is kinda dumb, especially if you are using it to make the point that UGA exceeded expectations. In reality UGA is 4-3 which is basically a wash.
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OT counts for bets, lines are not just for regular time.

It's 5-2, because we couldn't force a FG in OT or stop them in 4th Q...
 
who cares about the spread! Don't you know it's just set for Vegas to make money!1!!

but in all honesty this spread surprises me a little bit.

I think Vegas sees how well UGA takes care of the ball compared to the rest of our opposition, and factors that into our potential defensive performance. I'm not sure why they think they'll get us down 2 TD's though. That would require us to be stopped more than once I think or turn it over. 2 very rare things especially considering UGA's performance against other run heavy teams outside of Auburn.
 
I don't get the spread and I don't get you ööögots saying its "about right". Sure , Georgie should be favored, but we're a 9-2 Tech team who just demolished a (still) ranked opponent, walking into our biggest game with the most we've ever had to play for

Yeah, sure, 14.5
 
EastboundJacket said:
I don't get the spread and I don't get you ööögots saying its "about right". Sure , Georgie should be favored, but we're a 9-2 Tech team who just demolished a (still) ranked opponent, walking into our biggest game with the most we've ever had to play for

Yeah, sure, 14.5
Click to expand...

It's about where I thought it would be, not necessarily where I thought it should be.
 
cyptomcat said:
OT counts for bets, lines are not just for regular time.

It's 5-2, because we couldn't force a FG in OT or stop them in 4th Q...
Click to expand...

I get that it counts for actual bets, but he wasn't referring to a bet. He was using the spread to make a point that UGA usually performs better than what was expected against Georgia Tech. If a favored team has to go to OT to win, they did not exceed expectations. Thereby they exceeded expectations 4 of 7 times, which is not a big deal.
 
BTW I like GT +370 straight up more than betting that line. Almost 4:1 odds on a game that I think we have a >25 chance to win is pretty good, IMO.
 
mmbt0ne said:
I hate UGA, but I like money way more.

I'd hit the Arkansas side hard, that's an awful line.
Click to expand...

9-2 vs. 6-5. Hard to justify picking the team that just became bowl eligible a few days ago.
 
johncu said:
Counting an OT win as covering the spread is kinda dumb, especially if you are using it to make the point that UGA exceeded expectations. In reality UGA is 4-3 which is basically a wash.
Click to expand...

Point taken. I've never really considered OT games and lines, but it's true that the game should basically be considered a tie in terms of point spread.
 
SGA_Jacket said:
This line looks about right to me. This is not a good matchup for us. We're going to have to play perfect on offense. No turnovers. I don't see how we stop their running game. We're going to have to get a few turnovers and turn them into TD's.
Click to expand...

This---their OL vs our DL.

Our OL and Smelter/Waller have to play their best game---otherwise, our front seven are gonna be in trouble by the 4th.
 
Was our DL significantly better last season? I don't think so and we bottled Gurley up reasonably well in regulation. I think we can do it again (albeit against Chubb)
 
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