33jacket
Dodd-Like
- Joined
- Aug 17, 2002
- Messages
- 3,323
Personally, I'm going to save the predictions until I have some idea of what to expect from the offense this season. Would anyone be surprised if we averaged 4-5 turnovers/game between weeks 2-4, when we play 3 straight solid FBS programs with us having very little experience in a new system?? I sure wouldn't after seeing the spring game. I know, I know...there are 100 reasons we looked so bad offensively on 4/19 (we have a bad-ass D-line, Nesbit's injury, injured Olinemen, etc, etc...), but its still unrealistic to expect this transition to not take a while (like at least most of this season). Also, I'd feel better if the problem was only turnovers...but it wasn't. If I'm correct, we didn't get a 1st down in the first 10 possessions. Now I've read many posts about how our defense can keep games close while our offense learns on the job...but if we turn the ball over and can't manage some 1st downs when we do hang on to the ball, then the defense doesn't stand a chance.
Don't get me wrong...I'm looking for great things from this team in the near future, but I'm thinking more along the lines of '09 or '10 instead of 2008.
I think after the first two weeks of fall practice beginning end of July early August, we will all have a better feel for this O and turnovers. The FACT remains before the spring game we weren't turning the ball over much in practice, and we WERE turning it over a decent amount in the beginning of practice. Secondly the turnovers in the scrimmage were only 2 or 3 from the first team, and Josh had been out for 2 weeks without any live action. Don't want to read TOO far into turnovers, this is one instant you read a statistic, but the stats don't break it down by unit.
Point -> In fall a few weeks in, with freshman on the team and a HEALTHY team, I will be willing to make a prediction. I DO agree we get better over time, but I think it happens around game 5. 09 obviously we will be much better than 08, but I see the big jump coming within this season not between the two seasons like with Navy. We have more athletes, a better defense and I expect quicker progress.