That’s a stretch. AP/Coaches Polls mean nothing to the CFP formula.
Example: Indiana despite being 1 of 2 teams who have never even trailed this year, is being criticized for a conference schedule they had no control of. They could very well only lose to tOSU, and tOSU may finish with 2 losses and get in the CFP over 11-1 Indiana.
If you want to counter the argument that a brand name with the same record may get in over an Indiana, Pitt, SMU, etc that’s possible. But that same argument will get a 2 loss non ACC champion Clemson in over Indiana too.
SOS is the formula that matters the most. ACC from top to bottom is doing OK record wise. But there’s still a month to go.
Best case scenario (worst case scenario for the CFP) is 3/4 of Clemson, Miami, SMU, Pitt finish with 1 loss. ACC would have an argument for a minimum of 3 teams getting in. That leaves the CFP committee and the SEC/B1G and ND in a bind.
Projections by every “expert” now is the B1G/SEC are locked in with 4 each, ACC (2), B12 (1) and Boise State. That leaves ND on the outside looking in at 11-1. I’d laugh at ND getting left out considering more than likely TAMU is 1 of the 4 the SEC is likely getting in.
Still a lot of football to be played. Good news is, the SEC may knock themselves out of 4 bids.
1. Loser of Bama/LSU is out with 3 losses. The winner could still lose a 3rd game.
2. Tennessee could lose 2 more games to finish 9-3.
3. Ole Miss, Mizzou have 1-2 more losses left to finish 9-3, 8-4.
The above would leave the SEC with only 3 bids (Texas, TAMU uga).
