I go back and forth. Kentucky is pretty good and has strong athletes. As much as I don't believe in the extra time theory, the statistics aren't favorable especially against winning teams and bowls in particular.
But, this is a team that got better all season, beat VT and UGA, and doesn't have a bad loss. A bowl game for our senior leader QB lends a "win one for the Gipper" attitude. I think that emotion does matter in college football. I think the coaching advantage is ours.
So, the team that scores TDs instead of FGs or wins the turnover battle wins this game.