POLL -- Whiskey Bet: TIA / Diseqc

Which 1 to 3 teams are we most likely to beat.


  • Total voters
    70
  • Poll closed .
All five are unwinnable

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I'd put the odds like this:
Duke 0.7
UNC 0.4
VT 0.3 (only because of the Bud Foster effect, I think they're overrated)
UVA 0.8
UGA 0.5

So I think we are significantly more likely to end up 7-5 than 5-7.
 
The votes are in, and the results have been tallied.

Out of 71 voters, including Diseqc who voted for 0 wins, here's the probabilities as determined by ST'ers.

@ThisIsAtlanta to win: 85.9%
@Diseqc to win: 14.1%

I don't know if this just represents an optimistic fanbase, or if people here just really hate Diseqc and want him to have to buy TIA some whiskey.

I do think it is encouraging to see that almost 60% of us believe we will win at least 3 more games.

Spreadsheet with votes is embedded in the OP.
 
Wait, what? We could get Foster-d again next weekend and we would still only need a win over UVA OR UGA to get bowl eligible. I'd say there's maybe a 15% chance we only end up with 5 wins. We're better than UVA and as good as UGA.
 
all your hopes and dreams come down to UVA, wonderful
Your hopes and dreams come to losing every single game. Multiply the ESPN FPI probabilities of our losses, and gonna be not a good chance for you.
 
Your hopes and dreams come to losing every single game. Multiply the ESPN FPI probabilities of our losses, and gonna be not a good chance for you.
FPI is wrong.

Its more like:
VT - 0%
UVA - 50%
UGA - 0%
 
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