What are our chances of winning the Coastal?

[beej67]

Should have locked it for no editing.:laugher:

If I locked it for no editing, then other folks couldn't plug in their own numbers.

It's kinda fun seeing the different scenarios Hivers and Stingtalkers are sticking in there, as the day goes on.

 

[kirbee]

Here's a google app to do the math for you:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pSyoIngZJOfYDPlNQHyuLAw

5% chance for Tech by my calc.

 

[GGGT]

I came up with 9%.

 

[kirbee]

Beej, you should make a new one that calculates the % chance for all teams still in the hunt based on predicted outcomes of remaining games. Then we know who is really in the drivers seat.

 

[beej67]

Beej, you should make a new one that calculates the % chance for all teams still in the hunt based on predicted outcomes of remaining games. Then we know who is really in the drivers seat.

Not quite that bored yet.


The big PITA about that is the tiebreakers. Our path to the ACCCG is pretty clear, even though it requires a lot of stuff to happen. Some other teams paths are really confusing depends on who gets the tiebreaker with who, and how many are tied, etc. Throw into the mix the interrelationships between each path, and it's a nightmare. I could do it, but it'd be a big pain in the ass. Like, huge.

One day I'll be a math teacher and I'll make my students do this.

 

[JWE37]

"Fifty fifty. But there's only a 10 percent chance of that."
-Lt Frank Drebin

 

[Yellow_Jacket]

That's a very nice spreadsheet.

 

[wesleyd21]

11.4125% chance!

 

[nedleeds]

If we beat Miami convincingly and UGA convincingly we would be ranked higher then any team that wins the ACC anyway.

 

[chilidogking]

zero. every time people start going through these scenarios, we lose. happened before uva and again before unc. miami wins thursday and it doesn't matter.

 

[GGGT]

zero. every time people start going through these scenarios, we lose. happened before uva and again before unc. miami wins thursday and it doesn't matter.

Ahhhhh Chili....now you've gone and done it! :laugher:

 

[JWE37]

zero. every time people start going through these scenarios, we lose. happened before uva and again before unc. miami wins thursday and it doesn't matter.

Good point....except for the Miami winning thing.