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I ran the simulator and we win 32-29
I ran a simulator of my own and there is a 99% chance Beamer slips the ref $100.
There is no way my simulation is wrong. Unless your puppets have a better simulation.This is like the post the other day about yardage stats. Obviously, you guys have never bet on football with any regularity. I had a friend of mine at GT that made a simple formula to help predict how teams would fare against the spread. Every year he tweaked it to try to make it better. At no point was he ever better than 55% on predicting outcomes.