Great post beej, I just think that running a swing pass that starts off with a player catching the ball behind the line of scrimmage with a redshirt freshman receiver blocking in front of him was not the best decision.
To date, our receivers had blocked very well. Whether or not the play was
predictable or not is a very valid debate. I know
I didn't predict it, because I was expecting us to run behind a line I
thought was pretty good. I know ND didn't predict it when we took a very similar play for 20 yds vs them. I also know it's very easy to predict a play on Monday.
Now I can't make any really firm calls about what sorts of D they were running, because I was drunk in a bar. But it looked to me like most of the game BC played containment on the line, had one guy spy Choice, and played Cover-1. Against that, screens might work better than swings, if we can get a hat on the spy, but we didn't know their defensive tendencies first drive. Furthermore, a middle screen on 3rd and 4 in a rushing situation isn't a great call, because lots of pretty standard "stop them from running 4 yards" defenses would flush it out. So the high percentage pass play for 4 yards, not counting on a RB spy, is the swing pass.
I was disappointed we didn't line Cox up at QB vs that D, with Taylor and Choice wide to either side, because it would pull the spy to the sideline. I suspect we didn't because their safties are both very strong, and we didn't think Cox was a good interior mismatch. But hey, what do I know?