What if we go 11-2?

Probably not, unless the committee values conference championships above all other criteria.
 
We'd probably need a little help....but I would think we'd be 6th or 7th at worst. Of course, 6th or 7th gets you nothing.

We'd definitely need ugag to win the SECCG. Ole Miss would need to win the Egg Bowl. It would also help if either Oregon or Ohio State lost. I think we'd get in ahead of Baylor/TCU.
 
With a little help, maybe but probably not. That last 1.5 minutes of the UNC game is gonna kill us.
 
Fredge said:
We'd probably need a little help....but I would think we'd be 6th or 7th at worst. Of course, 6th or 7th gets you nothing.

We'd definitely need ugag to win the SECCG. Ole Miss would need to win the Egg Bowl. It would also help if either Oregon or Ohio State lost. I think we'd get in ahead of Baylor/TCU.
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I don't see us vaulting one loss teams, especially when neither of our losses are to ranked teams. If we had beaten either UNC or Duke, we'd have much more realistic playoff chances.
 
We'll be #5, guarantee it
 
The committee is made up of more PAC 12 reps than any other group. The ACC has the least number.

The PAC 12 is getting a representative in over us, assuming both have two losses.

The SEC is guaranteed unless MSU loses to Ole Miss, UGA beats Bama in the SECCG, we beat UGA earlier and we beat FSU. Then we have a reasonable argument. But I'd still give it 40% that we get in over the SEC, ridiculous as that sounds.

If Ohio State loses to Wisconsin, Wisconsin gets in, so you also have to hope for MN to beat Wisconsin.

TCU or Baylor is in. Mark it down. The fact that they have no championship game should hurt them in this instance but we'll see. KState keeps winning and that helps the SEC and the rest though.

The odds are very strong that the only scenario would be for us to beat UGA and then have them win the SECCG. So we have a chance...3% or so.
 
Fredge said:
We'd probably need a little help....but I would think we'd be 6th or 7th at worst. Of course, 6th or 7th gets you nothing.

We'd definitely need ugag to win the SECCG. Ole Miss would need to win the Egg Bowl. It would also help if either Oregon or Ohio State lost. I think we'd get in ahead of Baylor/TCU.
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It would get us a Top 15 ranking heading into next season - when we'll need it given our gauntlet of @ND, @Clemson, FSU, UGA, ACC Coastal. Getting started in the Top 15 would allow us some breathing room to inevitably lose a few games and still be in the national spot light.
 
There's definitely a chance, but a lot of stuff would have to happen. Pretty sure I've seen posts outlining what would have to take place.
 
Our only chance would be if the SEC plays itself out and one of the B12 teams loses. I just don't see it, too many teams in front of us this late. FSU would still be ahead of us if we beat them unless they lose to Florida.
 
johncu said:
There's definitely a chance, but a lot of stuff would have to happen. Pretty sure I've seen posts outlining what would have to take place.
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Yeah, just found one on Reddit.

Georgia Tech's path to the playoff:
1. Beat the dwags. This is non-negotiable.
2. Beat FSU. This is non-negotiable.
3. Mississippi State loses another game in order to prevent 2 SEC teams from being sent to the playoffs OR the SEC East champion (preferably dwags due to our win over them) wins the SEC championship game.

Then some combination of the following (at least 1 of these things is needed, we may need 2 depending on what the committee shows in the next two weeks):

1. TCU loses a game AND Baylor loses a game.
2. Pac-12 South champion (preferably USC after beating UCLA and losing to Notre Dame) beats Oregon.
3. Ohio State does not win the Big Ten, or loses a game before they do.

If all that happens, they can't keep us out of the playoffs. The big thing is I don't see any way for us to get in with 2 SEC teams unless the committee really values conference championships and we go up a ton for beating FSU. We need one of the other power 5 conference candidates (Oregon/UCLA, Ohio State, and TCU/Baylor/Kansas State) to not make it in.
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There is les that 0.1% chance that an 11-2 GT makes the playoff.
 
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