2015 Preseason Probability Poll Results

If you include a -0.1 "homerism" factor I think the numbers look about right. 80%+ for two different division road games is just absurd - even if they are both average-to-below-average teams. Especially when we lost to one of them at home last year. And UGA approaching 2/3 is worth a laugh considering how we've performed in the series recently.

On the other hand, it's nice to see the fanbase have a reason to be confident. Been a few years!
 
Bump.

Sticky request.

Analysis:

Through 4 games Stingtalk Poll had us winning 3.314 of them. We've won 2, so that's 1.314 off our expected total.

Stingtalk Poll had us with an expected win total of 8.666. Replacing estimated values with actual results after four games, our expected win total drops to 7.352.
 
beej67 said:
Bump.

Sticky request.

Analysis:

Through 4 games Stingtalk Poll had us winning 3.314 of them. We've won 2, so that's 1.314 off our expected total.

Stingtalk Poll had us with an expected win total of 8.666. Replacing estimated values with actual results after four games, our expected win total drops to 7.352.
Click to expand...



Good idea, I've edited the OP, and we can update it each week going forward.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top