2023 Preseason Probability Poll Results

OP updated for Game 6 results.

Our Game 6 win has increased the expected win total by 0.528. The total expected win value is now 6.368 wins.

Now at the halfway mark in the season, and the last couple of weeks have really mixed things up. Leaders as follows:

TIA Scoring (3-way tie): @00Burdell, @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09​
GGT Mod Scoring (3-way tie): @00Burdell, @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09​
GGT Raw Score (4-way tie): @ee8384, @GTce93, @gte983k, @HurricaneJacket​

Scores among the leaders are all pretty tightly grouped, so lots of changes to come.
 
OP updated for Game 7 results.

Our Game 5 loss has decreased the expected win total by 0.716. The total expected win value is now 5.652 wins.

Of note, we have now dropped 2 of the 3 easiest games on our schedule, both of which were at home.
 
OP updated for Game 8 results.

Our Game 8 win has increased the expected win total by 0.417. The total expected win value is now 6.069 wins.

Now 2/3rds of the way through the season, the current leaders are as follows:

TIA Scoring (2-way tie): @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09
GGT Mod Scoring (2-way tie): @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09
GGT Raw Score: @GTce93, with @GTCrew4b and @HurricaneJacket close behind
 
coit said:
OP updated for Game 8 results.

Our Game 8 win has increased the expected win total by 0.417. The total expected win value is now 6.069 wins.

Now 2/3rds of the way through the season, the current leaders are as follows:

TIA Scoring (2-way tie): @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09
GGT Mod Scoring (2-way tie): @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09
GGT Raw Score: @GTce93, with @GTCrew4b and @HurricaneJacket close behind
Click to expand...
6.069 wins
1698691103746.gif
 
OP updated for Game 9 results.

Our Game 9 win has increased the expected win total by 0.294. The total expected win value is now 6.363 wins.

At three quarters of the way through the regular season, the current leaders are as follows:

TIA Scoring (2-way tie): @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09
GGT Mod Scoring (2-way tie): @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09
GGT Raw Score: @GTce93, with quite a few just a few tenths of a point behind
 
OP updated for Game 10 results.

Our Game 10 loss has decreased the expected win total by 0.332. The total expected win value is now 6.031 wins.
 
OP updated for Game 11 results.

Our Game 11 win has increased the expected win total by 0.306. The total expected win value is now 6.337 wins.

With one game remaining, the prediction contest leaders are as follows:

TIA Scoring: @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09 still tied for 1st, with @00Burdell in 3rd
GGT Mod Scoring: @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09 still tied for 1st, with @00Burdell in 3rd
GGT Raw Score: @GTce93, with quite a few just a tenth of a point behind

This has been an interesting season, as the leaderboard really hasn't changed since the midway point in the season. Our tied leaders have picked every game the same way so they will finish the season with wins in 2 of the 3 categories with a loss to the Dwags. A GT victory will flip @00Burdell to the victory in the TIA Scoring and then the other categories become much less clear, depending on scoring margin.
 
coit said:
This has been an interesting season, as the leaderboard really hasn't changed since the midway point in the season. Our tied leaders have picked every game the same way so they will finish the season with wins in 2 of the 3 categories with a loss to the Dwags. A GT victory will flip @00Burdell to the victory in the TIA Scoring and then the other categories become much less clear, depending on scoring margin.
Click to expand...

Victory is mine.
 
OP updated for Game 12 results.

Our Game 12 loss has decreased the expected win total by 0.337. The final win value is 6.000 wins.

We ended the season losing our top 3 difficulty games and also 2 of the bottom 3 least difficult games. And we won 5 of the 6 in the middle.

Again, thanks to all of you that participated in this year's challenge. Final results:

TIA Scoring:

1st Place: @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09 (tie)​
3rd Place: @mookie43​
4th Place: @GTce93​

GGT Mod Scoring:

1st Place: @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09 (tie)​
3rd Place: @mookie43​
4th Place: @ee8384​

GGT Raw Score:

1st Place: @1990wspjacket​
2nd Place: @GTce93, @jacket67, @jbv1108 (tie)​
 
coit said:
OP updated for Game 12 results.

Our Game 12 loss has decreased the expected win total by 0.337. The final win value is 6.000 wins.

We ended the season losing our top 3 difficulty games and also 2 of the bottom 3 least difficult games. And we won 5 of the 6 in the middle.

Again, thanks to all of you that participated in this year's challenge. Final results:

TIA Scoring:

1st Place: @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09 (tie)​
3rd Place: @mookie43​
4th Place: @GTce93​

GGT Mod Scoring:

1st Place: @Kcs_Tech, @MCRP09 (tie)​
3rd Place: @mookie43​
4th Place: @ee8384​

GGT Raw Score:

1st Place: @1990wspjacket​
2nd Place: @GTce93, @jacket67, @jbv1108 (tie)​
Click to expand...
Enjoy the victory. Until next year, that is.
 
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