Next year is year 3(or 3.66, if you count the interim year) of Brent Key’s tenure. The turnaround phases(lose big, lose small, win small, win big) look to be generally on track depending on how you look at the interim year.
I don’t believe that Key inherited a roster devoid of talent, so the 4-4 record in his interim year showed that with better coaching, player buyin and some luck, things could turn around quicker which avoided a lose big year.
2023 felt like the “lose small” year but a couple lucky games got us to a winning record and increased expectations.
2024 looked to be our “win small year that could have been even better but for a few games. Most of the wins were very close and could have gone either way with a few different bounces and three of the losses that most think we coulda/shoulda won(Ugay, Vandy and to some degree U of L) showed that we have improved but have a very small margin of error in most games that a few bad calls or turnovers keep us from winning.
So, hopes are that next year is the “win big” season. The schedule looks to be an easier path to 8 or 9 wins, but we saw from the bowl game that some of transfer losses could hurt our next step up in improvement if the transfer gains, and younger players, don’t step in and fill the holes(TE’s, deep WR threat, edge rush and DL).
I think NIL and transfer portal have changed the overall turnaround timeline but the basics of building a program still remain the same - develop your program identity and ingrain it into everything you do, get the right coaches that fit the identity and recruit the “right players” that fit into the program. I am certain that Key has a handle on where he is taking things, so I am ready for a fun ride next year.