I hope teams overlook us. By mid-season that advantage will start to disappear.
I don't think coaches do much overlooking. I think sometimes players do. I know fans overlook superior and even teams, much less lesser opponents. But coaches don't.
Here's a quote with quotes from Norvell:
“We’re playing a Georgia Tech team that’s in the second year with their coaching staff, a coaching staff that’s had a lot of success throughout their career,” Florida State head coach Mike Norvell said last week during a press conference. “I was actually in the same league with (Georgia Tech head coach Geoff) Collins when he was at Temple. We never had the opportunity of playing each other but I got the opportunity to see his team play quite a bit.”
“Since the schedule has come out we’ve been able to do a lot of background as a coaching staff, going back through the last three years at Temple, Georgia Tech, really evaluating personnel and overall just study of schemes, stuff like that.”
“They’re in the second year of the transition that we’re in. The physical development, the confidence of what those guys have planted....they had some good wins last year and you know that confidence they’re going to bring into year 2 with what their expectation is is something that they’re going to come out and they’re going to start fast.”
Now that does not say the FSU coaches are worried about us. It says they have done their prep. If the FSU players just tries to roll their helmets onto the field we will win. If FSU has the fractures a few random tweets suggest they do, we will win. If those fractures are overblown, and I suspect they are, I expect a tough back-and-forth game. I think we would have better chances if we played them second game, not first, but IIWII.
I'm sure Collins has watched Memphis tape while preparing for opponents two years ago, too. I'm sure he has trotted plenty of it out in prep, too. I am sure he evaluated FSU players, too. You watch recent Memphis tape and you watch FSU DL tape, and you will know what you are in for.
Memphis schemes were not super-complex, so they will be super-basic for his first year with an abbreviated spring. Meanwhile, we will show a lot more in our package than last year's tape showed, as much as our quarterback can handle. I think the OL play will be much more sophisticated, and the wideouts can run more complex patterns with more expected time for the qb to throw. And Gibbs.
On defense we will have more horses to improve a sound scheme. And Harvin may be our best holdover player at punter.
FSU coaches know all that. They will not overlook us. They just have to spend their time on their own house more than they want to.