Path to the Orange Bowl

johncu said:
If we're counting games that were evenly played, I'll go ahead and throw Miami in there. We outgained them and the score was tied if not for two fluke plays. We won 2 with good luck and lost 2 with bad luck. It does indeed even out in the long run.
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We didn't need "good luck" to beat BC and Puke. We are better than both and the results matched. Hell, we were crushing loser Puke for most of that game. Had it not been for 2 "bad luck" turnovers, that game's a snoozer in the 4th. JT's game-winning play was anything but luck. Pure skill meets opportunity, was what it was.

No argument re:Pitt and Miami
 
Some of y'all are trying to separate luck and skill, but you just can't. It generally takes skill to get "lucky", and you generally don't get "unlucky" without making mistakes. The way I look at it, "luck" comes into play when something extremely unlikely happens (even if it comes as a result of good or bad play) or when a common mistake ends up resulting in a completely game-changing play.

Our defense is not good enough to blow teams out, even if we score just about every drive. For that reason, bad luck and fluke plays really tend to get amplified.
 
johncu said:
Some of y'all are trying to separate luck and skill, but you just can't. It generally takes skill to get "lucky", and you generally don't get "unlucky" without making mistakes. The way I look at it, "luck" comes into play when something extremely unlikely happens (even if it comes as a result of good or bad play) or when a common mistake ends up resulting in a completely game-changing play.

Our defense is not good enough to blow teams out, even if we score just about every drive. For that reason, bad luck and fluke plays really tend to get amplified.
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I think what they mean is the only team that blew us out of the water was Clemson, Miami and Pitt we were evenly matched but they were the better team that day. At least that's the way I see it. You're right about good teams creating their own luck or taking advantage of the other team shooting themselves in the foot. That's how we won in Athens in 2014. And I never thought we just got lucky. We were the better team that day.
 
Akinji07 said:
I think what they mean is the only team that blew us out of the water was Clemson, Miami and Pitt we were evenly matched but they were the better team that day. At least that's the way I see it. You're right about good teams creating their own luck or taking advantage of the other team shooting themselves in the foot. That's how we won in Athens in 2014. And I never thought we just got lucky. We were the better team that day.
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I can agree with that. Luck only decides games when the teams are relatively evenly matched. We played Miami, Pitt, BC, and Duke all relatively evenly. We won two and lost two. We blew out GaSo, Vandy, and Mercer, and Clemson blew us out. 5-3 makes sense.

That said, I think we beat BC pretty easily if we play again right now. I think our odds are pretty decent against Miami and Pitt as well. This feels a lot like 2014 in the sense that our offense gets rolling as the season progresses.
 
Hey you forgot to factor in the other possibilities to get us into the ACCCG:

1)UNC goes on probation.
2) Miami chooses to not go bowling pending their own problems.
3) VPI's new coach has something bad come out regarding Memphis.
4) Pitt is found to have cheated when signing Tony Dorsett.'

Much of this has worked before! Add it into the odds.
 
midatlantech said:
Hey you forgot to factor in the other possibilities to get us into the ACCCG:

1)UNC goes on probation.
2) Miami chooses to not go bowling pending their own problems.
3) VPI's new coach has something bad come out regarding Memphis.
4) Pitt is found to have cheated when signing Tony Dorsett.'

Much of this has worked before! Add it into the odds.
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We're practically a lock for the B1G eastern division.
 
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