Tech at USF Predictions

GT98 said:
Beating us badly sounds like a reach, but the computer models have them by 3. What I almost *always* worry about playing teams like this is that GT *always* looks surprised when the other team is full of intensity and ready to play. Seems the team never learns as this has been going on for decades, regardless of the coach.
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The fact that we are the AWAY team probably gives them the edge.
 
MACHETE said:
The fact that we are the AWAY team probably gives them the edge.
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Perhaps, in the “eyes” of the computers. Vegas line is still GT -3 to -3 1/2.

Playing road games like this isn’t a good idea. Higher risk of loss, nothing additional gained from a win that wouldn’t be from a home win.
 
GT98 said:
Higher risk of loss, nothing additional gained from a win that wouldn’t be from a home win.
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It is precisely this attitude which makes it so hard for us to get home-and-homes with any really interesting teams. I'd love to do a home-and-home with Nebraska or Texas or Michigan. But nobody has any interest in playing a dangerous 'lower tier' team away from home.
 
18in32 said:
But nobody has any interest in playing a dangerous 'lower tier' team away from home.
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Nor should they if they have designs on making the playoffs. Schedule strength isn’t rewarded. People/pundits/poll voters will remember the bad loss to a lower level team, not where the game was played, so why play it at a location that increases the chances of losing?

You’re also assuming that GT has pursued such home and home games with “name” programs. I don’t get the sense that they are.
 
GT98 said:
Nor should they if they have designs on making the playoffs. Schedule strength isn’t rewarded. People/pundits/poll voters will remember the bad loss to a lower level team, not where the game was played, so why play it at a location that increases the chances of losing?

You’re also assuming that GT has pursued such home and home games with “name” programs. I don’t get the sense that they are.
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I disagree about schedule strength. It is remembered – but it's not usually relevant because what matters first and foremost is losses. The four P5 teams with the fewest losses have the inside track at the CFP every year. When teams have similar resumes, OOC competition will certainly be relevant. The problem is that you've got to beat those tough OOC teams before the merits of the victory are relevant. And beating a strong OOC is a lot harder than beating a G5 team.

There have been multiple reports by GTAA personnel, in response to complaints from fans that we're playing the MTSU's and Tulane's of the world, that they have tried to find better match-ups. Back when DRad was in charge we went on that spell of scheduling SEC teams – we actually played Vandy and Miss St several times, and we also scheduled Bama and Ole Miss, until either they or we backed out.

The reason is because no coaches want to play tough OOC teams if they can avoid it. CPJ sees the annual UGA game as an albatross around his neck. He's focused on winning the ACC and having the best possible resume to get in the CFP. Playing one strong OOC team per year is already plenty as far as he's concerned.

The GTAA, on the other hand, is trying to sell tickets and generate enthusiasm. As far as they're concerned, it's their job to schedule the games and Paul's to win them. And so the tug of war inside the GTAA continues, between those who see primarily the benefits of playing tougher OOC teams, and those who primarily the drawbacks.

My primary point to you was that just as you don't want to play the lower tier G5 or FCS teams, the elites don't want to play us.
 
Have you forgotten about our new found defense?? Where's the love for a Woody? 38-10 GT baby!!

 
GT by ten, but take the over, whatever the o/u is. I expect a lot of scoring for an early season game. SF freaked out by defending the triple option. Tech freaked out by a good passing game against the young secondary. Woody vs. Charlie Strong.
 
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30-20 lot like VT game in 16. Tech pounds them but USF gets some late TDs to make the score look better for them than it should. Just don't see USF stopping the TO.
 
18in32 said:
It is precisely this attitude which makes it so hard for us to get home-and-homes with any really interesting teams. I'd love to do a home-and-home with Nebraska or Texas or Michigan. But nobody has any interest in playing a dangerous 'lower tier' team away from home.
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Uh... those aren't lower tier teams.

At the end of the day, Tech has a clear path to the playoffs: Beat Georgia or Clemson, then win the rest of the schedule and the ACC and GT is in. That's the advantage of being in a P5 conference. There's no advantage to making that path more difficult by adding Texas, Michigan, or Alabama to the schedule, especially because of the ND game many years.

If I'm scheduling OOC games, it's Georgia, an HBCU, a 2nd tier Kentucky school, and a Florida Community College, which is exactly our schedule this year.
 
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