daU wins, but we're pulling for VT b/c it improves our very slim chances of ACCCG.
If Miami wins, we would need them to lose two of their remaining games:
Duke
UVA
Pittsburgh
If VT wins, we would need them to lose one of their remaining games, and Miami to lose one of theirs:
Maryland
UVA
I guess I have more confidence that they would lose one each than I do that Miami would lose two.
We're pulling for Miami because they have more ACC games remaining against tougher teams.
It is more likely for Miami to lose 2+ after beating VPI than it is for Miami to lose 1+ and VPI lose 1+ after VPI beats Miami.
If Miami wins, we would need them to lose two of their remaining games:
Duke
UVA
Pittsburgh
If VT wins, we would need them to lose one of their remaining games, and Miami to lose one of theirs:
Maryland
UVA
I guess I have more confidence that they would lose one each than I do that Miami would lose two.
.http://www.stingtalk.com/forums/report.php?p=1382779Give the following probabilities:
Duke over Miami 0.3
Pitt over Miami 0.4
UVA over Miami 0.2
Maryland over VPI 0.4
UVA over VPI 0.3
Duke over Miami 0.3
Pitt over Miami 0.4
UVA over Miami 0.2
Maryland over VPI 0.4
UVA over VPI 0.3
The Miami +1 is irrelevant. Any gt title game scenario involves miami losing one.
The question is is it more likely for miami to lose a second game or vt to lose 1.
The simple fact is if miami is good enough to beat vt without their running back, they are way too good to lose to both duke and pitt.
daU wins, but we're pulling for VT b/c it improves our very slim chances of ACCCG.
Forget the ACCCG, does anyone really want to se us boat raced by FSU?