We are just not very good

eg1 said:
I just cannot understand how 4/5 of a line that manhandled FSU, UGAg and Miss St can suddenly find themselves incapable of blocking dook and UNC? :eekfacepalm:
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Pitt was a turnaround game last year. Let's hope the lights go on this year for this game. Let's run the table in the second half of the season! One game at a time.


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Perspective: We're 2-3 plays from being a 4-2 team, where our 2 losses were road losses to top 10.
 
I don't know what you all expect our OL to do. Watch the tape. Defenses are bringing 6-7 guys every play. The problem is that we're not making them pay by going over the top, or busting a long JT5 scramble for a TD. If we did that a few times and had it on tape for our opponents to see, I guarantee that "bring the house" defense would stop real quick.
 
Ish said:
I don't know what you all expect our OL to do. Watch the tape. Defenses are bringing 6-7 guys every play. The problem is that we're not making them pay by going over the top, or busting a long JT5 scramble for a TD. If we did that a few times and had it on tape for our opponents to see, I guarantee that "bring the house" defense would stop real quick.
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We tried that. We probably dropped back to pass 20-25 times against Clemson, but we only completed 6 passes. That's not gonna win us any games.

Perhaps you should watch the tape and see what happens on 50+% of our dropbacks. The OL gets flat-out abused, even when they defense doesn't bring 6-7. Until we figure out a way to slow that down, we ain't gonna have too much luck through the air, on the ground, or otherwise.
 
We won some games last year we shouldn't have won. We got pretty lucky. And it was good. Sometimes, the law of averages swings back around and bites you in the ass. We're pretty unlucky. And it's not good.
 
Allen Koholic said:
We won some games last year we shouldn't have won. We got pretty lucky. And it was good. Sometimes, the law of averages swings back around and bites you in the ass. We're pretty unlucky. And it's not good.
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At this point, it looks to me like you make your own luck. It's always been said that our margin for error is razor thin, since we can beat every team we play, but can also lose to just about every team we play. I think this is pretty obvious when we can have a season like 09/14 and then follow it up with 10/15 with most of the same players.

If we're being honest, how many teams can we "out-talent" on our schedule this year, with the non-injured players still left on our roster? I say maybe 4 or 5, tops, including Alcorn St. and Tulane. Our coaching staff puts us in a pretty good position to be competitive in 95% of our games, but when it comes down to the wire, Marquise Williams, Elijah Hood, Jeremy Cash, Deshaun Watson, etc. make plays and our guys don't. In the past, Thomas, Smelter, Laskey, Dwyer, Nesbitt, Thomas, Morgan, etc. made those big plays to turn close games in our favor.
 
johncu said:
At this point, it looks to me like you make your own luck.
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I usually look at it like this, but look at the magic-finger tip fumble against Southern last year and the in-and-out drop-six against UNC. I think we're just snake bit this year.

Last year was fun though. I'm going to just put on reruns and get into my GT fantasy world early this year.
 
Allen Koholic said:
I usually look at it like this, but look at the magic-finger tip fumble against Southern last year and the in-and-out drop-six against UNC. I think we're just snake bit this year.

Last year was fun though. I'm going to just put on reruns and get into my GT fantasy world early this year.
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True, but at the same time, our D made a play against Duke reminiscent of the GSU game last year to give us one more chance, and our offense blew it in a way that the 2014 team NEVER would have done. Similarly, we failed on the goal line at UNC, which would not have happened last year with Byerly at QB, Laskey/Days at BBack, or any perimeter blockers trustworthy enough to make pitching it an option.

Think back to '09. We almost lost to Wake ööööing Forest in our 10-2 season, but had a key 4th down conversion made by a playmaker. Same goes with the FSU, VT, and Clemson games. We lose those games without 1 or 2 key plays made by elite players, and our record that year is 8-4 or worse.

Like I said, with this coaching staff we will almost always be in a position to win. It's the players that have to make sure that happens.
 
Semi-related question: can your predictor match up teams from different seasons?
 
ThisIsAtlanta said:
It sure can, for what that's worth. It can use the current algorithm as far back as 2006.
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It would be amazing to see how of a difference there really is between each season, or even between PJ's teams and Gailey's last two.
 
Not sure how I missed that - pretty interesting. I'd be willing to bet that our 2014 team is the best of the bunch, by a significant margin, and that our 2015 team is still better than all of Gailey's but 2006.
 
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