CFP Rankings Thread

what were the vegas odds of Tech making the playoffs at the beginning of the season?
 
If we did and won, it would be the most illegitimate MNC since the bama-lsu rematch non divisional but somehow national champ crap.


WTF? How would our MNC be illegitimate? We'd have closed out the season with consecutive victories over ranked Clemson, Georgia, FSU, Alabama and Oregon/TCU teams. That's crazy legitimate.


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I hope our boys do their part first.

that's the only part we (the team) can control and I hope they concentrate on that.

Win and let the chips fall where they may.

I'm happy regardless. 30-24. To Hell with UGA.
 
1. Alabama - Playing a Mizzou team that has won the SEC East two straight years and only beat ONE team with a winning conference record (UGA '13) AND lost to Indiana (W)

2. Oregon - Revenge game against the only team to beat them. Also lost when they had about half of their O and D lines out due to injuries (W)

3. TCU - Iowa State. Nuff said (W)

4. FSU - Gotta take care of business in Charlotte and beat these jokers (L)

5. Ohio St. - Missing star QB against a great rushing team - Ohio State has a terrible run defense that is giving up 6 ypc in the last 3 games (L)

6. Baylor - Star QB has not yet passed concussion tests and K State is a tough team (L)

7. Arizona - (L)

8. Michigan St. - Idle

9. Kansas St. - (W)

10. Miss St. - Idle

11. Georgia Tech - ACCCG against FSU

Re-ordered list:

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. TCU
4. Kansas State/GT
5. Kansas State/GT
6. FSU
7. Ohio State
8. Michigan State
9. Baylor
10. Mississippi State

If Wisconsin and Kansas State can pull off upsets (not entirely far-fetched given the situations in each game), we have a shot if we beat FSU. Crazy. I can see the committee choosing to move K State into the #4 slot because they are currently #9, but I can also see them taking us to have 4 of the Power 5 conferences represented instead of having two Big XII teams.
 
If they did we would have jumped them already.

You guys are trying to apply logic and reason to a process that is basically a bunch of politicians throwing darts at a board.

The only idle teams in front of us are Michigan State and Mississippi State. Let's say some pieces fall in place where #4 where be between us or those two teams. It would just be staggeringly bizarre for a number of reasons to choose either MSU over us after we beat FSU.

The best example I could find is 2009. We beat a #25 Clemson team in the ACCCG and jumped VT, PSU and Iowa, who were all idle.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_NCAA_Division_I_FBS_football_rankings

Those pieces basically need Bama/Oregon/Wisconsin win and either:

1. TCU loss or

2. Kansas State win

#1 is very likely to get us in, but TCU is so unlikely to lose. So we're stuck with having to jump Kansas State. There are some things that could let that happen. Conference champions is an explicit criteria and KSU would be second Big 12 team.

By the logic of your post, Kansas State would also stay behind Michigan State because they aren't already ranked higher. So a Michigan State team whose best win is Nebraska would be chosen over two teams which beat the #4 and #6 teams in the country.
 
Posted this to in a facebook discussion earlier tonight. Haven't read the entire thread, so if this scenario has been discussed already I apologize.

Here's how we get in IMO:

We're currently 11 and need to get to 4.

We pass both MSUs, FSU, the loser of Baylor/KSU, and the loser of Oregon/Arizona with a win on Saturday. That gets us to the 6 spot.

Then we'd need two of the following three to happen:

We pass TCU if they lose to Iowa St
We pass Alabama and don't get jumped by Missouri if Bama loses (not guaranteed, but IMO we would/should)
We pass Ohio St and don't get jumped by Wisconsin if Wisconsin wins.
 
I think that these rankings are very favorable for GT.

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. TCU
4. FSU
5. Ohio St.
6. Baylor
7. Arizona
8. Michigan St.
9. Kansas St.
10. Miss St.
11. Georgia Tech

I still adamantly believe that the Committee will not allow there to be 2 Big12 teams in the Playoff due to their weak OOC schedule/record and lack of conference championship. They will essentially assume a second loss for TCU / Baylor based on who they think would win a hypothetical championship game.

I also feel strongly that the Committee will try to avoid rematches and having 2 teams from the same conference. IMO, the following teams ranked above us do not have a chance at the Playoff:

Baylor / TCU
Michigan St.
Kansas St.
Miss St.

Discarding these teams leaves the following Playoff contenders:

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. TCU
4. FSU
5. Ohio St.
6. Arizona
7. Georgia Tech

IMO, we most likely will be in the Playoff if we beat FSU and Oregon and Wisconsin win. There is really no way for us to get jumped by Big10 Champ Wisconsin or SEC Champ Missouri with these rankings if we win. We are positioned to leap frog the 2-loss non-divisional winners. Big12 will not get 2 teams. An Oregon win may not be needed if they lose decisively to Arizona.

Sound thinking but I don't see a two loss#11 team jumping a one loss #6 team... It wouldn't be a rematch between tcu/baylor unless they met in the finals
 
The committee actually treated us pretty well. Especially compared to Wisconsin and Missouri, two other teams with chances to win their conference and spoil a playoff bid. Our chances are remote and it really doesn't matter where they ranked FSU unless we have to use this CFP ranking instead of being able to say they are the highest ranking team Johnson has defeated while at Tech.
 
North Carolina...not gonna happen cause of North Carolina. Not a top 25 loss.

Oh well, beat FSU, win the ACC, win a bowl game, and eff everybody else.
 
Regardless of whether we make it, I hope CPJ puts the heads of Cutcliffe and Fedora on spikes next year.
 
Re-ordered list:

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. TCU
4. Kansas State/GT
5. Kansas State/GT
6. FSU
7. Ohio State
8. Michigan State
9. Baylor
10. Mississippi State

You left Wisconsin off your list. If they beat OSU, they would likely be #7 or maybe even #6 in front of FSU.

Your logic made the most sense, though. GT needs to win obviously, and we need KSU and Wisconsin to win. Then it will come down to us or KSU. You know that a lot of folks will be ready to burn things down if the Big XII gets two teams in and the ACC and B1G get left out. I actually like our chances in this scenario. Even though KSU is currently ahead of us.
 
Not sure why people think the committee would rather pick two Big 12 teams than one Big 12 team and the ACC/B1G champion.
 
Also, Jeff Long (a person on the CFP committee) said that TCU beat Baylor.

Explains the rankings a lot.
 
Conspiracy theory: What if committee ranked FSU at #4 to keep them in the Sugar Bowl against Bama? Would certainly make more money than sending them to the Rose Bowl on the West coast.
 
Conspiracy theory: What if committee ranked FSU at #4 to keep them in the Sugar Bowl against Bama? Would certainly make more money than sending them to the Rose Bowl on the West coast.
I thought about this also. Or they did it to not have an ACC/SEC championship again. With Pac12/Big10/BigXII representing 2 and 3, one of those conferences that hasn't played for a championship in years has a guaranteed spot.
 
Conspiracy theory: What if committee ranked FSU at #4 to keep them in the Sugar Bowl against Bama? Would certainly make more money than sending them to the Rose Bowl on the West coast.

I think this is totally accurate. There's a big fat $$ reason as to why they moved FSU to #4.

Here's to being the team that öööös everything up.
 
I have my views on the rankings and don't agree with a lot of them, but here's what matters most: nothing. The rankings don't mean squat if we don't win Saturday. Screw the CFP, focus on Saturday, whoop some F$U ass, then bitch about the rankings on Sunday.
 
Conspiracy theory: What if committee ranked FSU at #4 to keep them in the Sugar Bowl against Bama? Would certainly make more money than sending them to the Rose Bowl on the West coast.

Does anyone on the committee stand to gain money from doing that? I tend to think the direct goal of making money is very overrated as a factor in what the committee does.
 
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