2024 Pre-Season Probability Poll Discussion Thread

VMI voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.868
ESPN Probability: n/a
Diff: n/a

Not much to take away from this vote. Other than the fact that we have some fans that think this game is going to be a challenge.
 
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Louisville voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.581
ESPN Probability: 0.111
Diff: +0.470

And previous years:

2023 Probability: 0.611
2022 Probability: n/a
2021 Probability: n/a

Well above the ESPN probability, and slightly less confident than last year game, which we lost.
 
if one were to bet on GT for all the games we are big underdwags (FSU, UNC, UL, ND) ... it looks like we could go 1/4 and win vegas money back

2/4 would be a payout.. easy money??
 
gt2690b said:
if one were to bet on GT for all the games we are big underdwags (FSU, UNC, UL, ND) ... it looks like we could go 1/4 and win vegas money back

2/4 would be a payout.. easy money??
Click to expand...
I put $50 on GT to win the conference.
 
Duke voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.756
ESPN Probability: 0.613
Diff: +0.143

And previous years:

2023 Probability: n/a
2022 Probability: 0.667
2021 Probability: 0.751

Slightly above the ESPN probability, and essentially the same as our previous years' voting, both of which we won. Looking to extend our win streak to 4IAR.
 
coit said:
Louisville voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.581
ESPN Probability: 0.111
Diff: +0.470

And previous years:

2023 Probability: 0.611
2022 Probability: n/a
2021 Probability: n/a

Well above the ESPN probability, and slightly less confident than last year game, which we lost.
Click to expand...
ESPN probability of 0.111 might be the dumbest thing I have ever seen.
 
UNC voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.710
ESPN Probability: 0.265
Diff: +0.445

And previous years:

2023 Probability: 0.583
2022 Probability: 0.438
2021 Probability: 0.415

A nice steady increase in probability over the past 4 years. Big spike this year, no doubt attributable to the Clown effect. Like with Duke, we have an opportunity to stretch the streak out to 4IAR.
 
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ND voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.465
ESPN Probability: 0.053
Diff: +0.412

And previous years:

2023 Probability: n/a
2022 Probability: n/a
2021 Probability: 0.346

Another game trending higher than the last polls. We as a group tend to be voting about +0.4 over the ESPN probability.
 
VT voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.679
ESPN Probability: 0.336
Diff: +0.343

And previous years:

2023 Probability: n/a
2022 Probability: 0.491
2021 Probability: 0.605

Continuing the trend of higher confidence over past years and also higher than the ESPN probability.
 
Miami voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.597
ESPN Probability: 0.269
Diff: +0.328

And previous years:

2023 Probability: 0.472
2022 Probability: 0.363
2021 Probability: 0.440

Continuing the trend of higher confidence over past years and also higher than the ESPN probability.
 
NC State voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.626
ESPN Probability: 0.359
Diff: +0.267

And previous years:

2023 Probability: n/a
2022 Probability: n/a
2021 Probability: n/a


The probability differential is trending a little lower than typical. Some Wolfpack respect amongst ST?
 
Dwag voting results in:

2024 Probability: 0.448
ESPN Probability: 0.004
Diff: +0.444

And previous years:

2023 Probability: 0.337
2022 Probability: 0.187
2021 Probability: 0.385


Trending higher than the last three years. Gonna be our year!

Thanks to all for voting this season!!
 
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