Buzzilla
I'm all out of bubblegum
- Joined
- Dec 31, 2001
- Messages
- 986
I think the data should be compared with pre-portal data (before 2018) to get an idea of how many student-athletes quit sports or just dropped out all together and see if those numbers account for some of that 55% attrition. Some kids just decide 1) they aren't good enough at the sport 2) the sacrifices of the sport aren't worth it and/or 3) they aren't interested in pursuing the sport or college in general.Looks like the data set is bigger than football but here is something from Sept that says 55% don’t find a new team / wash out of athletics. I’m not sure how to take that. How can athletics lose 55% of its participants each year and not shrink overall? If the attrition rate of graduates is roughly offset by the incoming freshman class? Maybe Im not accounting for something to do with grad school. Maybe there’s still some COVID year impacts and the college athletic ranks are and I’m wrongly extrapolating a trend from a single year of data. Maybe I need more coffee.
Transfer Portal Turbulence Is On The Rise. Are College Sports Prepared? - RealResponse
By Hannah Dewey, Director of Business Development, Collegiate Athletics at RealResponse Free agency. Endorsement deals. Trade deadlines. These hallmarks of professional sports have become untethered from the big leagues. Thanks to milestone rulings around the transfer portal and name, image and...www.realresponse.com
I think the portal may just be an added step in the process of realizing a different life path for some people and that segment is likely some part of that number.
But either way, 55% does seem like a lot.
What I think could be very interesting is data on transfers where a player goes from a program where they are already successful such as Eric Singleton at Tech to another program where they take a big risk of not being as productive such as Nate McCullom.
Arguably, McCullom's NFL stock is not nearly as high as it would have been had he stayed at Tech. I'm not sure what his motivations were for the transfer but if it was money, it likely cost him a lot more than he made.
The Singleton situation will be interesting to see how it pans out.