What would cfp committe do if this happens

gtg970g said:
If uGA & LSU win out and uGA wins SEC-CG I don't see how they let Alabama in over LSU.
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I'd have a problem with either team getting a spot in that scenario, especially if there's another 1-loss conference champ out there.
 
johncu said:
Undefeated Baylor would probably get in over Alabama just by virtue of being undefeated. They would have to beat Oklahoma twice to get there.

But a 1-loss Baylor (or Oklahoma, or Oregon, or Utah) would not get in over Alabama, and I think that's crap.
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Heresy.
 
johncu said:
The ironic thing is, Alabama probably benefitted from losing that game. Losing the SECCG so late in the season could have knocked them out of the playoff, but now they don't even have to play in the game.

If you lose your conference, you shouldn't get in over a conference champ. Period. Not with only 4 teams in the playoff. If you want teams like Bama to still have a shot, then expand the playoff to 8 or 16.
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Once upon a time there were NO teams in a playoff. Then, two. And everyone clamored for four--four would be perfect. Yeah, we just need four. And here we are. You could have 64 and there would still be butthurt. It's just football, dog.
 
Yukonwreck said:
Once upon a time there were NO teams in a playoff. Then, two. And everyone clamored for four--four would be perfect. Yeah, we just need four. And here we are. You could have 64 and there would still be butthurt. It's just football, dog.
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I think 4 teams is perfect and it has worked well so far.
 
RamblinWreck27 said:
I don't think anyone thinks that will happen. If Minnesota goes undefeated they are in. If next year Rutgers/Indiana/Arkansas/Vanderbilt somehow goes undefeated, they would be in. No undefeated team from SEC or Big 10 or named Clemson or named ND is getting left out over the next 5 years.
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Agree. I'd go further and say no team from a P5 conference (or ND) is getting left out while undefeated, barring the extremely unlikely scenario of all undefeated conference champs or 4 undefeated champs + undefeated ND.

Clemson will get in despite playing a schedule that's about on par with what UCF played during their undefeated season (plural?).
 
smokey_wasp said:
Ain't nobody getting in with 2 losses when one of those was to a likely 4-8 team. See Ohio State a couple of years back. Committee has proven that conference championship is way down their list. Can we stop with the improbable ugag playoff scenarios?
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Whoever wins the SEC championship will go to the playoffs even if they have two losses. They will not put a 1 loss SEC team who didn't play in the championship ahead of the actual winner even with two losses. One day maybe we will have our rivals (who are they now? The dwags don't consider us a rival anymore)hoping we don't get in the playoffs. Sadly it looks like that will be a long long way off.
 
JudgeJudy said:
Whoever wins the SEC championship will go to the playoffs even if they have two losses. They will not put a 1 loss SEC team who didn't play in the championship ahead of the actual winner even with two losses. One day maybe we will have our rivals (who are they now? The dwags don't consider us a rival anymore)hoping we don't get in the playoffs. Sadly it looks like that will be a long long way off.
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Your dwag is showing, Judy.
 
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Undefeated:
Ohio St- @Rutgers, vs Penn St, @ Michigan, Big10CG (vs Minnesota)
LSU- @Ole Miss, vs Arkansas, vs Texas A&M, SECCG (vs UGA)
Clemson- vs WF, @USCe, ACCCG (vs UVA)
Baylor- vs Oklahoma, vs Texas, @Kansas, (vs Oklahoma)
Minnesota- @Iowa, @Northwestern, vs Wisconsin, Big10CG (vs Ohio St)

One loss currently in top 10:
Alabama- @Miss St, vs Western Carolina, @Auburn
Penn St- vs Indiana, @Ohio St, vs Rutgers
UGA- @Auburn, vs Texas A&M, @GT, SECCG (vs LSU)
Oregon- vs Arizona, @Arizona St, vs Oregon St, Pac12CG (vs Utah)
Utah- vs UCLA, @Arizona, vs Colorado, Pac12CG (vs Oregon)
Oklahoma- @Baylor, vs TCU, @ Oklahoma St, Big12CG (vs Baylor)

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Predicted outcomes:
Ohio St (13-0) -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule and defeats Minnesota in the Big10CG
LSU (13-0) -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule and defeats UGA in the SECCG
Clemson (13-0) -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule and defeats UVA in the ACCCG
Baylor *(11-1)* -loses vs Oklahoma, defeats Texas and Kansas, vs Oklahoma in the Big12 CG
Minnesota (11-2)- loses @Iowa, defeats Northwestern and Wisconsin, loses to Ohio St in the Big10CG
Alabama (11-1) -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule
Penn St (10-2) -defeats Indiana, loses @Ohio St, defeats Rutgers
UGA (10-3) -loses @ Auburn, defeats Texas A&M, _____, loses to LSU in the SECCG
Oregon *(11-1)* -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule, vs to Utah in Pac12CG
Utah *(11-1)* -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule, vs Oregon in Pac12CG
Oklahoma *(11-1)* -defeats everyone remaining on their schedule, vs to Baylor in the Big12CG

...perhaps the biggest regular season assumption I am making is Minnesota losing @Iowa after defeating Penn St the week before. I think this game is irrelevant as Ohio St should win the Big10, and a one-loss Minnesota wouldn't be considered anyway.
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CFP:
1. LSU
2. Ohio State
3. Clemson
...in the scenarios above, these three teams seem to have the best shot at making the CFP.

Clemson's toughest remaining game appears to be vs UVA in the ACCCG
Ohio State's toughest remaining game appears to be @Michigan
LSU's toughest remaining game appears to be UGA in the SECCG

Who gets the fourth slot?
...in the scenarios above, these one-loss teams would be vying for the fourth slot.

Alabama (11-1) -runner-up SEC West
Baylor/Oklahoma (12-1) -Big 12 champion
Oregon/Utah (12-1) Pac 12 champion

Alabama's toughest remaining game appears to be @Auburn
Baylor's toughest remaining games appear to be vs Oklahoma and vs Oklahoma in the Big12CG
Oregon's toughest remaining game appears to be vs Utah in the Pac12CG
Utah's toughest remaining game appears to be vs Oregon in the Pac12CG
Oklahoma's toughest remaining games appear to be @Baylor and vs Baylor in the Big12CG

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Alabama should not go ahead of a one-loss Big 12 or Pac 12 champion
It should come down between either Baylor/Oklahoma, Oregon/Utah for the fourth slot.

4. Oklahoma
...by virtue of defeating an undefeated top 12 Baylor team, them defeating them again in the Big12CG.
 
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Here's the 538 (lol) odds with LSU/OSU/Clemson winning out -

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Here's if the leghumpers lose to Auburn. I can't get their model (with this interface) to tell me what happens if the lose but beat LSU.

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RamblinWreck09 said:
Here's if the leghumpers lose to Auburn. I can't get their model (with this interface) to tell me what happens if the lose but beat LSU.

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Sugar Bowl vs Baylor, as log as OU/Baylor, Oregon/Utah have one loss. would be interesting to see the model using the scenario you laid out, losing to AU, defeating LSU, to compare UGA and Alabama.
 
Wut? Still a 20% chance to make it if they lost to Auburn.... Naw bud. Lose to Auburn, then they should be out regardless of the outcome of the SEC Title Game. Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Oregon, Oklahoma, still LSU....and like 10 other teams would be ahead of them in that scenario.
 
RamblinWreck27 said:
I don't think anyone thinks that will happen. If Minnesota goes undefeated they are in. If next year Rutgers/Indiana/Arkansas/Vanderbilt somehow goes undefeated, they would be in. No undefeated team from SEC or Big 10 or named Clemson or named ND is getting left out over the next 5 years.
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We will see. If Clemson remains undefeated and UGAg wins out, you will see all sorts of hoops being jumped through to get Alabama, UGAg, and LSU in
 
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