Win probabilities / bowl eligibility

The LSU Football Schedule website is showing our VT game at Blacksburg at noon on ACCN. Not confirmed by ESPN or TheACC.com. The only other ACC game undeclared is @Cal and no other noon ACCN game listed so I guess that's what it will be
 
jacket67 said:
The LSU Football Schedule website is showing our VT game at Blacksburg at noon on ACCN. Not confirmed by ESPN or TheACC.com. The only other ACC game undeclared is @Cal and no other noon ACCN game listed so I guess that's what it will be
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GT Football's instagram posted a noon kickoff as well earlier today.
 
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Updated after ND loss:

VT - 36%
Miami - 27.7%
NC ST - 77.5%
Georgia - 10.6%

ESPN has us at 6-6 with beating NC State.
 
The ND game is over so I’m moving on to VPI.

At 5-3, we are one win shy of where I thought we’d be at this juncture (had us beating Syracuse).

VPI and NCSt are two winnable games, which would get us to 7-5, bettering last years 6-6, with a tougher schedule to boot.

We’ve got to be ready this weekend and hope that King and Efford are ready to go. We also had some injuries in the ND game, so hopefully those guys are ready to go as well.
 
UPDATED PROBABILITIES - OCTOBER 21ST

At least 5 wins: 100%
At least 6 wins: 91% (-3%)
At least 7 wins: 49% (-11%)
At least 8 wins: 12% (-8%)
9 wins: 1% (-2%)

Exactly 5 wins: 9% (+3%)
Exactly 6 wins: 42% (+8%)
Exactly 7 wins: 37% (-2%)
Exactly 8 wins: 11% (-6%)
Exactly 9 wins: 1% (-2%)

Small changes since we weren't expected to beat Notre Dame. But we've gone from a >=7 win season being most likely to a <=6 win season being most likely (barely).
 
UPDATED PROBABILITIES - OCTOBER 26TH

At least 5 wins: 100%
At least 6 wins: 85% (-6%)
At least 7 wins: 28% (-21%)
8 wins: 2% (-10%)

Exactly 5 wins: 15% (+6%)
Exactly 6 wins: 58% (+16%)
Exactly 7 wins: 26% (-11%)
Exactly 8 wins: 2% (-9%)
 
Still probably going to make a bowl but a 6-win season is now the most likely outcome.
 
JimmyMcJacket said:
By gifted you mean we forced a fumble and went 74 yards in 26 seconds.
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I said partially gifted. They win if they do the obvious thing and take a knee. But we played well enough to go and win the game once they made that game management mistake.
 
UPDATED PROBABILITIES - OCTOBER 27TH

At least 5 wins: 100%
At least 6 wins: 84% (-1%)
At least 7 wins: 25% (-3%)
8 wins: 2% (same)

Exactly 5 wins: 16% (+1%)
Exactly 6 wins: 59% (+1%)
Exactly 7 wins: 23% (-3%)
Exactly 8 wins: 2% (same)

Changes are versus post-game yesterday. ESPN Matchup Predictor penalized us a little for our loss.
 
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