Win probabilities / bowl eligibility

[Dirty Jacket]

ESPN FPI probabilities for our 5 remaining games:

ND - 16.6%
VT - 39.3%
Miami - 29.3%
NC ST - 80.4%
Georgia - 11.5%

ESPN has us at 6-6 with beating NC State.

I feel a 0.2%er

 

[smokey_wasp]

39% VPI? Joke probabilities, bro.

I don't get that one. 3-3 with wins against Marshall, Old Dominion and Stanford.

 

[Nehru Jacket]

I don't get that one. 3-3 with wins against Marshall, Old Dominion and Stanford.

I agree VPI too low and N.C. State a little high.

 

[WracerX]

Going to have to find some defense.

Defense has been playing well.

The UL game, our D only gave up 17. UNC was 27.

ST has been putting them in a hole.

 

[jacket67]

The LSU Football Schedule website is showing our VT game at Blacksburg at noon on ACCN. Not confirmed by ESPN or TheACC.com. The only other ACC game undeclared is @Cal and no other noon ACCN game listed so I guess that's what it will be

 

[Deke]

The LSU Football Schedule website is showing our VT game at Blacksburg at noon on ACCN. Not confirmed by ESPN or TheACC.com. The only other ACC game undeclared is @Cal and no other noon ACCN game listed so I guess that's what it will be

GT Football's instagram posted a noon kickoff as well earlier today.

 

[Diseqc]

 

[MACHETE]

I don't get that one. 3-3 with wins against Marshall, Old Dominion and Stanford.

The win vs VT will be Pyron's encore.

 

[GTFLETCH]

Updated after ND loss:

VT - 36%
Miami - 27.7%
NC ST - 77.5%
Georgia - 10.6%

ESPN has us at 6-6 with beating NC State.

 

[ThisIsAtlanta]

We're gonna beat VT

 

[GT65_UGA89]

The ND game is over so I’m moving on to VPI.

At 5-3, we are one win shy of where I thought we’d be at this juncture (had us beating Syracuse).

VPI and NCSt are two winnable games, which would get us to 7-5, bettering last years 6-6, with a tougher schedule to boot.

We’ve got to be ready this weekend and hope that King and Efford are ready to go. We also had some injuries in the ND game, so hopefully those guys are ready to go as well.

 

[justafan]

UPDATED PROBABILITIES - OCTOBER 21ST

At least 5 wins: 100%
At least 6 wins: 91% (-3%)
At least 7 wins: 49% (-11%)
At least 8 wins: 12% (-8%)
9 wins: 1% (-2%)

Exactly 5 wins: 9% (+3%)
Exactly 6 wins: 42% (+8%)
Exactly 7 wins: 37% (-2%)
Exactly 8 wins: 11% (-6%)
Exactly 9 wins: 1% (-2%)

Small changes since we weren't expected to beat Notre Dame. But we've gone from a >=7 win season being most likely to a <=6 win season being most likely (barely).