Win probabilities / bowl eligibility

[GTLiebs]

Updated after VT loss:

Miami - 24.1%
NC ST - 76.8%
Georgia - 10.1%

ESPN has us at 6-6 with beating NC State.

Quote Reply

Does ESPN factor in injuries though?

 

[GTFLETCH]

Updated ESPN win probabilities (11-11-2024)

NC State - 77.5%
Georgia - 12.2%

 

[JoeCakeEater]

What was the updated probability on the Miami game?

 

[justafan]

Using the updated probabilities GTFLETCH posted...

At least 6 wins: 100%
At least 7 wins: 80%
8 wins: 10%

Exactly 6 wins: 20%
Exactly 7 wins: 71%
Exactly 8 wins: 10%

(The exactly numbers add up to 101 because of rounding.)

 

[BuzzCzar]

(The exactly numbers add up to 101 because of rounding.)

You're giving it 101%!
Good job!

 

[AirForceCards]

You're giving it 101%!
Good job!

From what I know about football, we should give 110%.

 

[BuzzCzar]

From what I know about football, we should give 110%.

That was the joke!

 

[AirForceCards]

That was the joke!

So was my comment?

 

[justafan]

UPDATED PROBABILITIES - NOVEMBER 22

At least 7 wins: 100%
8 wins: 100%

Exactly 7 wins: 0%
Exactly 8 wins: 100%